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Arce vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
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Garry vs WeeksPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Hernandez vs FremdPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Pennington vs LaddPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Malott vs GallPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Arce vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Arce v Santos
Catchweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Arce 19-6
VS
14-2 Santos
5'7"
height
5'7"
147 lb
weight
151 lb
70"
reach
67"
36
age
31
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.4
strikes landed / min
2.8
36%
striking accuracy
42%
3.0
strikes absorbed / min
4.1
68%
striking defence
55%
0.5
takedowns / 15 min
1.5
28%
takedown accuracy
48%
96%
takedown defence
76%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Julio Arce
“i do think he wins”
We Want Picks picks Julio Arce
“i do think he wins”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Daniel Santos VALUE
“i'm going willy cat santos upset mike give me your side dog”
$2.65
MMA EXPERTS picks Daniel Santos VALUE
“i'm going willy cat santos upset mike give me your side dog”
$2.65
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Julio Arce
“i like Julio Arce in this fight i i think julio is going to just need to move around that cage make sure that he's staying away from power shots”
MMA EXPERTS picks Julio Arce
“i like Julio Arce in this fight i i think julio is going to just need to move around that cage make sure that he's staying away from power shots”
HB
Half The Battle picks Daniel Santos VALUE
“i'm gonna take this kid daniel santos for the upset”
$2.60
Half The Battle picks Daniel Santos VALUE
“i'm gonna take this kid daniel santos for the upset”
$2.60
SH
Sherdog.com picks Daniel Santos
“Daniel Santos plus 160 minus 200 for Julio Arce”
Sherdog.com picks Daniel Santos
“Daniel Santos plus 160 minus 200 for Julio Arce”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Daniel Santos VALUE
“i'm going dog on this one man i like i like it dude i like the dog attack on this bad boy so first fight of the night we're gonna jump on the dog side and daniel willy cat Daniel Santos”
$2.75
MMA EXPERTS picks Daniel Santos VALUE
“i'm going dog on this one man i like i like it dude i like the dog attack on this bad boy so first fight of the night we're gonna jump on the dog side and daniel willy cat Daniel Santos”
$2.75
AM
Artem MMA picks Julio Arce VALUE
“i'm going to trust Julio Arce i think he's a little bit more well well-rounded sorry and i also do think that he has got uh the more power in the hands as well i think that he's got a chance to finish Daniel Santos as well i'm going to say Julio Arce by i really don't know a prop man he could submit Daniel Santos i think that's probably his best chance to victory as by submission”
$1.50
Artem MMA picks Julio Arce VALUE
“i'm going to trust Julio Arce i think he's a little bit more well well-rounded sorry and i also do think that he has got uh the more power in the hands as well i think that he's got a chance to finish Daniel Santos as well i'm going to say Julio Arce by i really don't know a prop man he could submit Daniel Santos i think that's probably his best chance to victory as by submission”
$1.50
AM
Artem MMA picks Julio Arce VALUE
“i'm gonna be trusting Julio Arce in this one um his record 17 and five is still holding up pretty well he is two and three in his last five for their level of competition is it's not really something you can ignore i'm going to trust Julio Arce i think he's a little bit more wounded well well-rounded sorry and i also do think that he has got uh the more power in the hands as well i think that he's got a chance to finish Daniel Santos as well i'm to say Julio Arce by i really don't know a prop man he could submit Daniel Santos i think that's probably his best chance to victory as by submission but we could see a finish in this one holy husey decision is probably pretty fair pick but i wouldn't be propping him up if you bit in him bit him straight but i wouldn't really recommend it we haven't seen Daniel Santos fight in two years and even in the footage on this guy is just not dead it's like not that easy to find and then even then he could have made so many improvements because he's only 27 years old he could have made a lot of improvements in those two years that his head off so it's tough one to call i'm going to pick in Julio Arce though -200 i think is a pretty good tag if he actually still is even at those odds but i'm picking all the orc in this one”
$1.50
Artem MMA picks Julio Arce VALUE
“i'm gonna be trusting Julio Arce in this one um his record 17 and five is still holding up pretty well he is two and three in his last five for their level of competition is it's not really something you can ignore i'm going to trust Julio Arce i think he's a little bit more wounded well well-rounded sorry and i also do think that he has got uh the more power in the hands as well i think that he's got a chance to finish Daniel Santos as well i'm to say Julio Arce by i really don't know a prop man he could submit Daniel Santos i think that's probably his best chance to victory as by submission but we could see a finish in this one holy husey decision is probably pretty fair pick but i wouldn't be propping him up if you bit in him bit him straight but i wouldn't really recommend it we haven't seen Daniel Santos fight in two years and even in the footage on this guy is just not dead it's like not that easy to find and then even then he could have made so many improvements because he's only 27 years old he could have made a lot of improvements in those two years that his head off so it's tough one to call i'm going to pick in Julio Arce though -200 i think is a pretty good tag if he actually still is even at those odds but i'm picking all the orc in this one”
$1.50
WP
We Want Picks picks Julio Arce
“i do like arsei to win so i'd like him to win but it's really because of his wrestling i think he can work in a few well-timed takedowns to get santos worrying about those once he's worrying about those takedowns he's not going to be as comfortable striking but if he keeps this a kickboxing match i like daniel santos a lot he comes forward he has power he mixes things up well so Julio Arce is the pick”
We Want Picks picks Julio Arce
“i do like arsei to win so i'd like him to win but it's really because of his wrestling i think he can work in a few well-timed takedowns to get santos worrying about those once he's worrying about those takedowns he's not going to be as comfortable striking but if he keeps this a kickboxing match i like daniel santos a lot he comes forward he has power he mixes things up well so Julio Arce is the pick”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Julio Arce
“my prediction on this matchup i'm gonna side with Julio Arce you know purely out of respect”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Julio Arce
“my prediction on this matchup i'm gonna side with Julio Arce you know purely out of respect”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Arce19-6
W
Burns
Mar '24
L
Jackson
Nov '22
W
Santos
Apr '22
L
Yadong
Nov '21
W
Ewell
Jul '21
Santos14-2
L
Doo-ho
May '26
W
Joo-sang
Oct '25
W
Jeong-yeong
May '25
W
Muñoz Jr.
Jun '23
W
Castañeda
Oct '22