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UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev · breakdown

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev — The MMA RAXPOD, Free Picks & Sports Betting Analysis for the PPV

MR MMA RAX
10 months ago 2W–6L · +0.8u 8/11 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
DB Dione Barbosa v Karine Silva MONEYLINE LOST
“So I'm going to pick Barbosa as the underdog here to win a 29-28 decision in which she gives up the first round to Karine Silva, but is then able to come back and get the last 10 minutes of the fight.”
Line since pick CLV −5%
◆ entry$2.75 close$2.90
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
BB Bryan Battle v Nursulton Ruziboev MONEYLINE VALUE
“So, give me Bryan Battle to win a 29-28 decision.”
Line since pick CLV −20%
◆ entry$1.60 now$2.00
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish
DK Drakkar Klose v Edson Barboza MONEYLINE WON
“give me my second underdog upset of the night. Dart Drakkar Klose to win a 29-28 decision here.”
Line since pick CLV −5%
◆ entry$2.23 close$2.35
entry: LiveScore Bet · best in any region at publish
LG Loopy Godinez v Jéssica Andrade MONEYLINE VALUE
“give me Loopy to win 29-28, but a 30-27 or a submission wouldn't surprise me.”
Line since pick CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.67 now$1.77
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
GM Gerald Meerschaert v Michał Oleksiejczuk PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“give me malleasuk by round one knockout.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −10%
◆ entry$2.95 close$3.28
Meerschaert’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CF Carlos Diego Ferreira v King Green PROP · KO/TKO VALUE
“Ferrer, round one knockout.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −16%
◆ entry$1.68 now$2.00
Ferreira’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
TE Tim Elliott v Kai Asakura MONEYLINE WON
“give me Tim Elliott to get the upset, but I would stay away from this one.”
Line since pick CLV −8%
◆ entry$3.55 close$3.85
entry: LiveScore Bet · best in any region at publish
JC Jared Cannonier v Michael Page MONEYLINE LOST
“give me Jared Cannonier to win a unanimous decision”
Line since pick CLV −7%
◆ entry$2.65 close$2.84
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
GN Geoff Neal v Carlos Prates MONEYLINE LOST
“give me Carlos Protest to win 30-27”
Line since pick CLV −6%
◆ entry$3.15 close$3.35
entry: LiveScore Bet · best in any region at publish
KC Khamzat Chimaev v Dricus du Plessis PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I'm gonna say Kamayv gets a round two submission.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.49 close$1.50
Chimaev’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CH Chase Hooper v Alexander Hernandez PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I think Chase will eventually capitalize on a mistake that Hernandez makes... and will eventually find it... but I think eventually is going to end up getting the second round submission here over Alexander Hernandez.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.36 close$1.38
Hooper’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted