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Northwest425
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · breakdown

UFC 317: ILIA TOPURIA VS CHARLES OLIVEIRA • FULL CARD PICKS

NO Northwest42583% hit
12 months ago 3W–6L · -2.8u 9/11 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
JS Jacobe Smith v Niko Price PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm going to take Smith by round one knockoff”
Moneyline since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.07 close$1.05
Smith’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JD Jhonata Diniz v Alvin Hines PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm going to take Denise by round one knockout”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.33 close$1.33
Diniz’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.47
SD Sedriques Dumas v Jackson McVey PROP · KO/TKO
“I'm Tig McVey by round two knockout”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.45 now$2.45
Dumas’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
VB Viacheslav Borshchev v Terrance McKinney PROP · DECISION LOST
“I'm going to take the underdog here uh by decision. Viacheslav Borshchev by decision”
Moneyline since pick CLV +3%
◆ entry$2.60 close$2.53
Borshchev’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.55
TC Tracy Cortez v Viviane Araújo PROP · DECISION WON
“I'm going to take Tracy Cortez here by decision”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.42 close$1.42
Cortez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
GR Gregory Rodrigues v Jack Hermansson PROP · DECISION LOST
“I'm gonna take Gregory Rodrigues here. I'll take him by decision”
Moneyline since pick CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.54 close$1.48
Rodrigues’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
FL Felipe Lima v Payton Talbott PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I'm going to take Felipe Lima here. I'll take him by uh I'll take him by submission. Round two, I guess”
Moneyline since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.54 close$1.60
Lima’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.56
RM Renato Moicano v Beneil Dariush PROP · DECISION LOST
“I'm going to take Morano here. I guess I'll take him by decision”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.91 close$1.91
Moicano’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BR Brandon Royval v Manel Kape PROP · DECISION
“I'm going to take Brandon Royval here by decision. Uh, the odds are pretty much even, too. This could go either way. I'm going to take Brandon Royval. He's got the experience factor”
Analyst’s stated line
no market data captured for this fight
AP Alexandre Pantoja v Kai Kara-France PROP · SUBMISSION WON
“I'm going to take Alexandre Pantoja here by a round four submission”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.44 close$1.44
Pantoja’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
IT Ilia Topuria v Charles Oliveira PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I will take here by a round two knockout. I could see this fight going either way. But I'm going to go with Ilia Topuria Topuria”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.23 close$1.24
Topuria’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.24