UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · breakdown
Predicting Narrative Shifts AFTER UFC 317
TC
The Finz Chats49% hit
12 months ago
8W–2L · +1.3u
10/12 graded
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
JS
Jacobe Smith
v Niko Price
MONEYLINE
WON
Jacobe Smith
v Niko Price
MONEYLINE
WON
“I think after this fight, we're going to be saying that Jacobe Smith is a future welterweight champion.”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.07
→
close$1.05
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
JD
Jhonata Diniz
v Alvin Hines
MONEYLINE
WON
Jhonata Diniz
v Alvin Hines
MONEYLINE
WON
“I think we're going to say this is why Jon Jones retired.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.33
→
close$1.33
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish
JM
Jackson McVey
v Sedriques Dumas
PROP · SUBMISSION
Jackson McVey
v Sedriques Dumas
PROP · SUBMISSION
“I think Jackson McVey, I predicted him to have a sub, but as I look into it more, I think he's just going to win a weird decision.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.65
→
now$1.65
McVey’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
TM
Terrance McKinney
v Viacheslav Borshchev
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON
Terrance McKinney
v Viacheslav Borshchev
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON
“My prediction for this fight is Terrance McKinney round one sub.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.62
→
close$1.66
McKinney’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
VA
Viviane Araújo
v Tracy Cortez
MONEYLINE
LOST
Viviane Araújo
v Tracy Cortez
MONEYLINE
LOST
“If Tracy Cortez does not win this fight like I predict, if Viviane Araújo wins like I predict, obviously they're going to say robbery.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.20
→
close$3.20
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
JD
Jose Miguel Delgado
v Hyder Amil
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Jose Miguel Delgado
v Hyder Amil
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“I'm picking Jose Miguel Delgado to win this by round 1 KO.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.65
→
close$1.67
Delgado’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
GR
Gregory Rodrigues
v Jack Hermansson
MONEYLINE
WON
Gregory Rodrigues
v Jack Hermansson
MONEYLINE
WON
“I do have Gregory Rodrigues picked to win.”
Line since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.54
→
close$1.48
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
PT
Payton Talbott
v Felipe Lima
MONEYLINE
WON
Payton Talbott
v Felipe Lima
MONEYLINE
WON
“Wait, Peyton Ta was plus 170. Wasn't he just minus500 and he made it look easy? Why was he the underdog?”
Line since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$2.70
→
close$2.62
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.91
→
close$1.91
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
—
no market data captured for this fight
AP
Alexandre Pantoja
v Kai Kara-France
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Alexandre Pantoja
v Kai Kara-France
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I think after this fight, we're going to be saying, 'Wow, that was a classic Alexandre Pantoja performance.'”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.44
→
close$1.44
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
IT
Ilia Topuria
v Charles Oliveira
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
Ilia Topuria
v Charles Oliveira
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
“I have Ilia to win by round 1 KO.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.23
→
close$1.24
Topuria’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.20