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Tony's Picks
UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder · breakdown

FREE UFC Fight Night Picks for Saturday, 7/26/25

TP Tony's Picks54% hit
11 months ago 3W–8L · -0.1u 11/12 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
MB Marcus Buchecha v Martin Buday PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I think it's Marcus Buchecha all the way you know I wanted to get there with Martin Buday you know with all the value there uh you know MMA grappling I think he'll have I think he'll make it a little difficult for Marcus Buchecha to get him to the ground but I think it's only a matter of time you know Marcus Buchecha by sub”
Moneyline since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.33 close$1.36
Buchecha’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
SN Steven Nguyen v Mohammad Yahya PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I think it's Steven Nguyen all day um I don't know Stephen Steven Nguyen by TKO knockout”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.30 close$1.30
Nguyen’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
İA İbo Aslan v Billy Elekana MONEYLINE LOST
“Minus 270. İbo Aslan is the way. I think uh they just been cherrypicking wins for this kid. Uh his last fight he actually got exposed there uh by the kid uh what not the kid the veteran guy name escapes me right now. Uh Hulk uh Coutalaba Coutalaba exposed İbo Aslan that last fight there in a fight that was pumped. That was a EVENT_DETAILS right there. And you know Extreme has been trying to push this Olon kid. They've been getting him some easy cherrypicked fights. NOT_IN_ROSTER_11 fights out of EVENT_DETAILS. EVENT_DETAILS is 30 minutes from here. I've trained there before. I've actually done a couple jiu-jitsu tournaments out of that gym. I actually like the gym a lot. I like the guy there that owns it. Uh believe his name's NOT_IN_ROSTER_13 or something like that. I think it's NOT_IN_ROSTER_13 is uh the guy who owns it here. Uh it's a great facility. I just I just don't think, you know, they're going to be able to match up with the with the money that's on the uh İbo Aslan side when it comes to everything. The training camp, you know, big- time gym exposure. I think this is a İbo Aslan cherrypick Steven Nguyen here. They pick Eleana for a reason. Uh I'm rooting for Billy Elekana, but I think uh you got to go İbo Aslan here.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.40 close$1.40
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
TR Tabatha Ricci v Amanda Ribas PROP · DECISION LOST
“if you wanted to touch the dog here by decision, I think that'd be the way to go with Tabatha Ricci”
Moneyline since pick CLV −9%
◆ entry$2.50 close$2.75
Ricci’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
DB Da'Mon Blackshear v Davey Grant MONEYLINE LOST
“I think it's Dean Da'Mon Blackshear all the way here. I can't even see Davey Grant sneaking him. Uh it's Dean Da'Mon Blackshear pass there.”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.35 close$1.32
SN Said Nurmagomedov v Bryce Mitchell MONEYLINE LOST
“a lean to say Said Nurmagomedov just off the boxing and maybe the ability to have some counter defensive wrestling and you know keep this fight on the feet where I think he'll have a slight advantage over Bryce and the speed advantage.”
Line since pick CLV −10%
◆ entry$2.00 close$2.22
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
NK Nikita Krylov v Bogdan Guskov MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm going to lean the over there. I know it's scary. You know, go Bogdan Guskov, everybody's thinking, is going to get that early big time knockout. I think the over one and a half is the best bet there uh for Nikita Krylov and Bo Bogdan Bogdan Guskov.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.53 close$1.53
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
JO Jose Ochoa v Asu Almabayev MONEYLINE VALUE
“Joseé Jose Ochoa minus 105. Absolute lock. If you want to get greedy, take the knockout plus 240.”
Line since pick CLV −7%
◆ entry$1.91 now$2.05
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
SM Sharabutdin Magomedov v Marc-André Barriault PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“Sharabutdin Magomedov by knockout, you know, minus 150.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.17 close$1.18
Magomedov’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MM Marcus McGhee v Petr Yan MONEYLINE LOST
“I think you sit here and you try to take a shot on Marcus McGhee, honestly.”
Line since pick CLV −12%
◆ entry$3.75 close$4.26
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
RR Reinier de Ridder v Robert Whittaker MONEYLINE WON
“I think he's going to Steven Nguyen this fight. Uh I could give this out right now or you guys can, you know, get it on the website.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.40 close$2.41
MS Muslim Salikhov v Carlos Leal Miranda MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going to roll that way, man. Almost plus 380, you're looking at with him... Muslim Salikhov, let's get it done for us.”
Line since pick CLV −10%
◆ entry$4.50 close$4.99
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish