UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
BO
Bolaji Oki
v Chris Duncan
MONEYLINE
LOST
Bolaji Oki
v Chris Duncan
MONEYLINE
LOST
“Bolaji Oki is the favorite at the books at minus 190”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.56
→
close$1.57
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
NI
Nassourdine Imavov
v Brendan Allen
MONEYLINE
WON
Nassourdine Imavov
v Brendan Allen
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model is very very close but gives the slight Edge to Nora Oumar Syornolle”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.51
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
VA
Victor Altamirano
v Daniel Bárez
MONEYLINE
LOST
Victor Altamirano
v Daniel Bárez
MONEYLINE
LOST
“we always bet with the model but this one is an easy play at women's bantamweight”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.10
→
close$2.13
entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish
DZ
Darya Zheleznyakova
v Ailín Pérez
MONEYLINE
LOST
“we're putting our Renato Moicano on Darya Zheleznyakova”
Line since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$3.10
→
close$3.00
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish
TL
Taylor Lapilus
v Vince Morales
MONEYLINE
WON
Taylor Lapilus
v Vince Morales
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model not quite as confident but still giving Taylor Lapilus The Edge”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.29
→
close$1.29
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
ĽK
Ľudovít Klein
v Roosevelt Roberts
MONEYLINE
WON
Ľudovít Klein
v Roosevelt Roberts
MONEYLINE
WON
“thankfully the model agrees not as much but gives Ľudovít Klein a strong favorite at minus 170”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.11
→
close$1.11
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
OS
Oumar Sy
v Jung Da-woon
MONEYLINE
WON
Oumar Sy
v Jung Da-woon
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model while not quite as strong is still extremely strong for our model as a minus 239 for Oumar Sy”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.42
→
close$1.42
entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)
IE
Ivan Erslan
v Ion Cuțelaba
MONEYLINE
LOST
Ivan Erslan
v Ion Cuțelaba
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the model is stronger giving Ivan Erslan the edge at a minus 123”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.00
→
close$1.97
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish
FZ
Farès Ziam
v Matt Frevola
MONEYLINE
WON
Farès Ziam
v Matt Frevola
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model is much stronger with a minus 161 for Farès Ziam”
Line since pick
CLV +11%
◆ entry$2.00
→
close$1.80
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish
MC
Morgan Charrière
v Gabriel Miranda
MONEYLINE
WON
Morgan Charrière
v Gabriel Miranda
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model while close still leans favorably towards cherer”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.18
→
close$1.18
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
BB
Bryan Battle
v Kevin Jousset
MONEYLINE
WON
Bryan Battle
v Kevin Jousset
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model agrees slightly giving him the edge as a minus 117”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.62
→
close$1.62
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
WG
William Gomis
v Joanderson Brito
MONEYLINE
WON
William Gomis
v Joanderson Brito
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model odds showing it close but leaning towards burrito so we will be following the book and betting the favorite”
Line since pick
CLV −8%
◆ entry$3.50
→
close$3.79
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
BA
Brendan Allen
v Nassourdine Imavov
MONEYLINE
LOST
Brendan Allen
v Nassourdine Imavov
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the model on the other hand sees this as a closer fight but gives the edge to Brendan Brendan Allen Brendan Allen so we are taking the underdog”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.87
→
close$2.86
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish
BD
Benoît Saint Denis
v Renato Moicano
MONEYLINE
LOST
Benoît Saint Denis
v Renato Moicano
MONEYLINE
LOST
“we do what the says here we go Benoît Saint Denisît Saint Denis”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.37
→
close$1.37
entry: PointsBet (AU) · best in any region at publish