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UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · breakdown

UFC Fight night Saudi Arabia full card breakdown and predictions

MM Mick MMA50% hit
17 months ago 3W–5L
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
JP Jamal Pogues v Hamdy Abdelwahab PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I ended up picking Jamal Pogues um mainly because he's got that 5 in reach Advantage um he's coming off of a win which is always really good and his record is just more dependable than that 5 and0 re if I'm going to be completely honest and I haven't really seen any notable fighters come out of Egypt maybe this guy will be the first one but the track record of areas like that just haven't been really good or have shown much promise for prospects so I got to go with Jamal Pogues um I picked round one KO or TKO if not probably round two”
Moneyline since pick CLV −9%
◆ entry$1.96 close$2.15
Pogues’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BG Bogdan Grad v Lucas Alexander PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I'm going with Bogdan Grad by round one KO or TKO um I looked at his stats um apparently he has I think it was uh 50 uh 57% accuracy to the head which is really really good um he's coming off of a loss Lucas Alexander is and this is his debut coming from Romania um so yeah looks very good he is at a slight reach disadvantage but I think he's I think he's going to have some power and he's going to be very accurate and he's probably going to get him out there in either round one or round two so Bogdan Grad round one round two”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.06 close$2.05
Grad’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JJ Jasmine Jasudavicius v Mayra Bueno Silva PROP · DECISION WON
“I have Jasmine J Jasmine Jasudavicius coming with the momentum off of a win also um she's got that re advantage and should be able to play on the feet very well I have her by either majority of decision or she's gonna get around three sub or TKO so yeah um I Mayra Bueno Silva unfortunately again has not been very reliable has not done anything very good of notice really like I think I don't even think she's been in title contention ever if I can if I can remember correctly uh but yeah Jasmine Jasudavicius jazz Jasmine Jasudavicius um getting it done for Canada yeah like I said majority decision around three TKO or sub that's my prediction”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.45 close$1.45
Jasudavicius’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
TM Terrance McKinney v Damir Hadžović PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I got Terrance McKinney though he's got the reach Advantage um he's overall got the name advantage and I know that's kind of a weird thing but having a name and wanting to keep that identity up you know teren McKenna has made a little bit of a name for himself in the UFC has it been an absolutely positive one not all the time he has been a very fun finisher guy though he either gets finished or he finishes in really fun ways so yeah um I think he's probably learned a little bit from his mistakes and uh hopefully we see a new Terrance McKinney up in this lightweight matchup and uh yeah I just haven't seen very much good things from deir had ofc either honestly and I don't think he's got the finishing potential in him so that's why I got to go with Terrance McKinney round one KO orko”
Moneyline since pick CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.28 close$1.24
McKinney’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
SG Shamil Gaziev v Thomas Petersen PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I have Shamil the real meal gaziev coming in for a round one submission or he's going to get the decision and the reason why that is is because he's going to use up all of his energy in round one and by round two and round three he's going to be just so gassed we have seeing that this guy's gas tank is absolutely atrocious against uh jino Rosen strike just was not really good for him he looked absolutely horrible um but I think he's going to come and rejuvenated trying to get the win and prove himself I forget that he had a win against um some other some other like uh jobber kind of guy or whatever so he's Carri that momentum he's got the reach he's got the leg reach you know lots of things going his way I think he's just going to overpower Thomas Petersen either in round one or he's just gonna do his grindfest thing until a majority of decision so yep Shamil gazave”
Moneyline since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.31 close$1.33
Gaziev’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
FZ Farès Ziam v Mike Davis PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I got Farès Ziam by round one or round two KO or TKO um he's coming off of knocking out Matt prola I believe so that is a huge win um Mike Davis is also he's a dangerous Prospect but I think just based off of our last wins I who's his last win it was uh Levy yeah nothing nothing super notable not uh notable about that so that's why I got to go with firstam he's got the three-inch reach Advantage um slight height Advantage which is really nice the only reason why a lot of people are going probably end up picking Mike Davis is because Frost is s ZM is from France and France has not had a good history of having MMA fighters I mean sir Gan is probably your best one and even he is not as good as he should be if I'm going to be completely honest as much as the as much hype was built around him so yeah anyways still G to go with fores Zam better win and he's got the reach Advantage so yeah I have him round one round two KO TKO”
Moneyline since pick CLV +3%
◆ entry$2.30 close$2.24
Ziam’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
SP Sergei Pavlovich v Jairzinho Rozenstruik PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“Sergei Pavlovich dero Ro Rosen strike I know Sergey is coming off of a loss but this guy this guy is just he built different okay I know he got pieced up by OV not the best look but he's got the power bro in round one if he just does what he does against everyone else against that wasn't vov or Tom Aspen then he he gets the job done um Jairzinho Rozenstruik has been kind of very wishy-washy a little bit I know he's only 15 and five but he's felt very mixed as far as his wins and losses go he seems to hover around the rankings about seven or 10 sometimes he's like four on rare occasions or like five but other than that he's never been intitle contention little bit old now I forget how old he is I think he's like got to be at least 39 by now or 40 from what I remember U but Sergei Pavlovich this is a great uh comeback fight for him I think he's going to get the KO round one um don't really see how this gets to round two Sergei Pavlovich um unless you're asol or uh volov but other than that I think he just tanks everyone else so yeah I got to go with my boy Sergei Pavlovich by brutal round one KO”
Moneyline since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.33 close$1.36
Pavlovich’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
IA Israel Adesanya v Nassourdine Imavov PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I gotta go with Israel Adesanya I think he's going to get it done I know is he's coming off of a loss but it was to draus what the hell anyways um who is currently the champion Nassourdine Imavov is again been pretty mid throughout his career if I'm going to be honest kind of crazy he's getting being able to fight I he um but then again I don't know who else they would have matched Israel Adesanya up with to be honest so sometimes you got to fight down on the rankings and this is what Israel Adesanya is doing I think he gets it done by either round two or round three KO or sltko or he gets it done by a decision um I think round two and round three are prime rounds for Israel Adesanya to get a finish on nardine I think uh he's going to be way more D Dynamic than Nardo MAV is going to be nasto is probably going to be forced to Grapple and he's not really known for being a Grappler he is he is a striker but um I just I just don't see his striking being able to be up to Israel Adesanya's level if I'm going to be completely honest I think Israel Adesanya's going to Tip Tap Away at him and if nardine is willing to try to exchange and get close to him I think Israel Adesanya sleeps him so yeah anyways round two round three KO or TKO for Israel Adesanya or a decision izy will play it safe if he feels like he can't get the KO and nardino mavv is just gonna play on the outside Israel Adesanya's happy to play that game get the Tip Tap shots on them and just keep them at range and get a decision so yeah I got Israel Adesanya for that reason”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.69 close$1.69
Adesanya’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted