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UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov
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NI IA Imavov vs AdesanyaMain Card · Middleweight MP SM Page vs MagomedovMain Card · Middleweight SP JR Pavlovich vs RozenstruikMain Card · Heavyweight VO SN Oliveira vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Bantamweight FZ MD Ziam vs DavisMain Card · Lightweight MN KO Naimov vs OfliPreliminary Card · Featherweight SG TP Gaziev vs PetersenPreliminary Card · Heavyweight TM DH McKinney vs HadžovićPreliminary Card · Lightweight JJ MS Jasudavicius vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight BG LA Grad vs AlexanderPreliminary Card · Catchweight HA JP Abdelwahab vs PoguesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE We back Gaziev over Petersen · Heavyweight Our fair value$1.27 Ladbrokes AU pays above fair $1.32
Where to back Gaziev best price · region · EV vs fair $1.27
US BetAnything $1.32 +4%
UK Betway $1.30 +2%
EU Pinnacle $1.31 +3%
AU Ladbrokes AU $1.32 +4%
Consensus76 picks · conf 77/99
Gaziev 65
11 Petersen
AYBUJT pick Gaziev
How it endsmethod calls · Gaziev · crowd line
KO/TKO 25 $2.14
Submission 1 $53.49
Decision 15 $3.57
None 1 $53.49
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Gaziev 14-2 VS 10-4 Petersen
6'4" height 6'1"
262 lb weight 246 lb
78" reach 74"
36 age 31
Orthodox stance Southpaw
2.4 strikes landed / min 4.6
49% striking accuracy 55%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 2.6
44% striking defence 54%
1.0 takedowns / 15 min 2.1
30% takedown accuracy 36%
100% takedown defence 78%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market79% vs 76%
Consensus65 of 76 analysts
Sharpest angleGaziev by KO/TKO — 25 of 42 method calls
Recommendation Back Gaziev @ $1.32 · fair $1.27 +4% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MJ MMA JOEY picks Shamil Gaziev “Shamil Shamil Gazieviev goes out there finishes him in the first round”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Shamil Gaziev “my subscribers and I went with Shamil Shamil Gazievieviev” $1.25
ES etoft21 sports picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE “he's like a minus 300 something favorite”
BM Brick MMA picks Shamil Gaziev “I'm going just go with SH gaziev”
WW Wages & Warriors picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE “I like Sharabutdin Magomedov in this fight man I just think he's the better fighter I think he's the better Striker” $1.31
SL SUPER LUTAS picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE “vitória do Shamil Gazievil gaziev”
NO NotSoLethal picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE “I'm going to pick FarèSaid Nurmagomedov Ziam”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Thomas Petersen VALUE “I'm going to start off talking about Thomas Petersen at plus 280 against Said Nurmagomedovhamil Gaziev” $3.80
AU Audey picks Shamil Gaziev “I'm gonna Lean gaziev by a uh deciSaid Nurmagomedovion”
NC Nick Cieslak picks Shamil Gaziev “Shamil Gaziev is GNA blob all over him Shamil... I think he's going to be able to uh get this one done Shamil Gaziev”
TP Tony's Picks picks Shamil Gaziev “I'll go with Sham gazi have to win and then give give me the over one and a half”
FI FIGHTASTIC® picks Shamil Gaziev VALUE “Shamil Gaziev the safe pick here lock them into your parlays”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Gaziev14-2
L Peričić KO/TKO · R2 May '26
L Cortes-Acosta KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Petersen KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
W Mayes Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Rozenstruik KO/TKO · R4 Mar '24
Petersen10-4
W Pat Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Petrino KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
W Mayes Decision · R3 May '25
L Gaziev KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
W Usman Decision · R3 Jul '24