MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov
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NI IA Imavov vs AdesanyaMain Card · Middleweight MP SM Page vs MagomedovMain Card · Middleweight SP JR Pavlovich vs RozenstruikMain Card · Heavyweight VO SN Oliveira vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Bantamweight FZ MD Ziam vs DavisMain Card · Lightweight MN KO Naimov vs OfliPreliminary Card · Featherweight SG TP Gaziev vs PetersenPreliminary Card · Heavyweight TM DH McKinney vs HadžovićPreliminary Card · Lightweight JJ MS Jasudavicius vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight BG LA Grad vs AlexanderPreliminary Card · Catchweight HA JP Abdelwahab vs PoguesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pavlovich v Rozenstruik Heavyweight Our fair value $1.37 best price $1.36 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Pavlovich best price · region · EV vs fair $1.37
US BetOnline.ag $1.36 -1%
UK Paddy Power $1.33 -3%
EU Pinnacle $1.35 -2%
AU TAB $1.34 -2%
Consensus83 picks · conf 79/99
Pavlovich 62
21 Rozenstruik
ABJYBP pick Pavlovich
How it endsmethod calls · Pavlovich · crowd line
KO/TKO 77 $1.46
Submission 3 $37.55
Decision 2 $56.32
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pavlovich 20-3 VS 15-5 Rozenstruik
6'3" height 6'2"
255 lb weight 252 lb
84" reach 78"
34 age 38
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.1 strikes landed / min 3.8
44% striking accuracy 49%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 2.7
66% striking defence 51%
1.8 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
25% takedown accuracy 0%
64% takedown defence 75%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market73% vs 74%
Consensus62 of 83 analysts
Sharpest anglePavlovich by KO/TKO — 77 of 82 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MJ MMA JOEY picks Sergei Pavlovich “Sergei Pavlovich gets it done unanimous decision”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Sergei Pavlovich VALUE “my subscribers and I went with Sergei Pavlovich” $1.33
KM Knuckles MMA picks Sergei Pavlovich VALUE “I have Sergei Pavlovich winning this fight against jino Rosen strike by uh possible TKO in maybe the second or third round”
BY ByoneWorld picks Jairzinho Rozenstruik VALUE “Sergei Pavlovich was like the boogeyman before Tom aspino knocked him out and then now he's on a two-fight skid”
NO NotSoLethal picks Sergei Pavlovich VALUE “I'm picking JaSaid Nurmagomedovmine JaSaid NurmagomedovudaviciuSaid Nurmagomedov”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Sergei Pavlovich VALUE “Sergei Sergei Pavlovich is going to starch Jairzinho Rozenstruik” $1.35
BO BoxeMag picks Sergei Pavlovich “here is the number four ranked heavyweight in the world Sergei Pavlovich”
AU Audey picks Jairzinho Rozenstruik “I think Jairzinho RozenSaid Nurmagomedovtruik iSaid Nurmagomedov going to uh Edge out a deciSaid Nurmagomedovion”
AU Audey picks Sergei Pavlovich “I'm going to go with JaSaid Nurmagomedovmine JaSaid NurmagomedovudaviciuSaid Nurmagomedov on thiSaid Nurmagomedov one”
MO MMA Soap Opera picks Jairzinho Rozenstruik VALUE “personally I'm rooting for Vinicius Oliveira and I think that he's an underdog I would still think that this is very much a 50/50”
FI FIGHTASTIC® picks Sergei Pavlovich “pavich is the pick but Jairzinho Rozenstruik Power makes him a tempting underdog”
TH ThatBettingDude picks Sergei Pavlovich “I see it as going oneway traffic to Sergei Pavlovich”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pavlovich20-3
W Teixeira KO/TKO · R1 May '26
W Cortes-Acosta Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Rozenstruik Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Volkov Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Aspinall KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23
Rozenstruik15-5
L Pavlovich Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Tuivasa Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Gaziev KO/TKO · R4 Mar '24
L Almeida Submission · R1 May '23
W Daukaus KO/TKO · R1 Dec '22