MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov
Choose a fight to analyse
NI IA Imavov vs AdesanyaMain Card · Middleweight MP SM Page vs MagomedovMain Card · Middleweight SP JR Pavlovich vs RozenstruikMain Card · Heavyweight VO SN Oliveira vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Bantamweight FZ MD Ziam vs DavisMain Card · Lightweight MN KO Naimov vs OfliPreliminary Card · Featherweight SG TP Gaziev vs PetersenPreliminary Card · Heavyweight TM DH McKinney vs HadžovićPreliminary Card · Lightweight JJ MS Jasudavicius vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight BG LA Grad vs AlexanderPreliminary Card · Catchweight HA JP Abdelwahab vs PoguesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE We back Adesanya over Imavov · Middleweight Our fair value$1.63 Coolbet pays above fair $1.68
Where to back Adesanya best price · region · EV vs fair $1.63
US Bovada $1.67 +2%
UK Grosvenor $1.64 +1%
EU Coolbet $1.68 +3%
AU Unibet $1.64 +1%
Consensus182 picks · conf 99/99
Imavov 62
120 Adesanya
TLSAYB pick Imavov
How it endsmethod calls · Adesanya · crowd line
KO/TKO 34 $4.94
Submission 1 $167.90
Decision 67 $2.51
None 1 $167.90
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Imavov 17-4 VS 24-5 Adesanya
6'3" height 6'4"
185 lb weight 185 lb
75" reach 80"
30 age 36
Orthodox stance Switch
4.2 strikes landed / min 4.0
57% striking accuracy 50%
2.8 strikes absorbed / min 3.4
54% striking defence 57%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.3
64% takedown accuracy 33%
89% takedown defence 81%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market61% vs 60%
Consensus120 of 182 analysts
Sharpest angleAdesanya by Decision — 67 of 103 method calls
Recommendation Back Adesanya @ $1.68 · fair $1.63 +3% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MJ MMA JOEY picks Nassourdine Imavov “Nassourdine Imavov wins via second round KO”
GP Greedo Plays picks Israel Adesanya “make sure to check out our EVENT_DETAILS predictions with Israel Adesanya Nassourdine Imavov in the main event”
EM Elijah House MMA picks Israel Adesanya VALUE “I'm just make my prediction for the last three fights so stay starting off ... Israel Adesanya ... he's going to get that belt back ... I think Israel Adesanya will be champ again 2026”
KM Knuckles MMA picks Nassourdine Imavov VALUE “I like Nassourdine Imavov”
KM Knuckles MMA picks Israel Adesanya VALUE “I have Israel Adesanya winning this fight by um late like late TKO possibly a decision win over nasad MAV”
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Nassourdine Imavov VALUE “last bet of the night Nassourdine Imavov I got him at a plus 152 it's down to a plus 125 I like this let's go back there I like that size that he has he looks slightly taller than Israel Adesanya or about the same size thicker” $2.52
PE Pellymediatv picks Israel Adesanya “I'm picking Israel Adesanya thIsrael Adesanya the last star Bender”
MM Mushak El_Jefe mma picks Nassourdine Imavov “je me suis dit que Nassourdine Imavov il va gagner je me mouille pour à son DINassourdine Imavov il va gagner mais il va aller chercher de la décision”
US Uselyis picks Nassourdine Imavov VALUE “I'm going to go is rasna guys I'm going to go israa I think he should be able to win this fight guys this fight is by far one of the hardest main events that I've ever had to pick I'm doing an official pick flip for this fight guys and I'm going isra guys I'm going isna to win this fight guys if he ends up losing this fight then I'll have a better idea of where he's at in the middleweight division but right now he's defending his ranking I think he should be able to have success he should be able to win three rounds out of the two and if this fight goes a distance who's the guy who's better at going five rounds who has won five rounds more than anybody else in their career and this guy was a professional kickboxer” $1.64
BY ByoneWorld picks Israel Adesanya VALUE “he's very much still top at 185”
TC The MMA Couch picks Nassourdine Imavov “yes unless he shows a new level of urgency I believe Nassourdine Imavov will get the job done”
XC XcellentMMA picks Nassourdine Imavov “I got Nassourdine Imavov in this”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Imavov17-4
W Borralho Decision · R5 Sep '25
W Adesanya KO/TKO · R2 Feb '25
W Allen Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Cannonier KO/TKO · R4 Jun '24
W Dolidze Decision · R5 Feb '24
Adesanya24-5
L Pyfer KO/TKO · R2 Mar '26
L Imavov KO/TKO · R2 Feb '25
L Plessis Submission · R4 Aug '24
L Strickland Decision · R5 Sep '23
W Pereira KO/TKO · R2 Apr '23