MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov
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NI IA Imavov vs AdesanyaMain Card · Middleweight MP SM Page vs MagomedovMain Card · Middleweight SP JR Pavlovich vs RozenstruikMain Card · Heavyweight VO SN Oliveira vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Bantamweight FZ MD Ziam vs DavisMain Card · Lightweight MN KO Naimov vs OfliPreliminary Card · Featherweight SG TP Gaziev vs PetersenPreliminary Card · Heavyweight TM DH McKinney vs HadžovićPreliminary Card · Lightweight JJ MS Jasudavicius vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight BG LA Grad vs AlexanderPreliminary Card · Catchweight HA JP Abdelwahab vs PoguesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Naimov v Ofli Featherweight Our fair value $1.31 best price $1.30 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Naimov best price · region · EV vs fair $1.31
US FanDuel $1.30 -0%
UK Paddy Power $1.29 -1%
EU Betsson $1.29 -1%
AU Ladbrokes AU $1.30 -0%
Consensus70 picks · conf 76/99
Naimov 55
15 Ofli
YBUMGC pick Naimov
How it endsmethod calls · Naimov · crowd line
KO/TKO 27 $2.08
Submission 3 $18.73
Decision 13 $4.32
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Naimov 11-3 VS 14-4-1 Ofli
5'9" height 5'7"
146 lb weight 145 lb
70" reach 66"
31 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.2 strikes landed / min 4.1
43% striking accuracy 48%
4.3 strikes absorbed / min 4.8
42% striking defence 52%
1.8 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
30% takedown accuracy 74%
57% takedown defence 78%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 1.6
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market77% vs 77%
Consensus55 of 70 analysts
Sharpest angleNaimov by KO/TKO — 27 of 43 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MJ MMA JOEY picks Muhammad Naimov “Mohamad naimov gets it done via unanimous decision”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Muhammad Naimov VALUE “I think Muhammad Muhammad Naimov Muhammad Naimov is going to win” $1.38
ES etoft21 sports picks Muhammad Naimov VALUE “I really like like Muhammad Naimov I think he's actually gonna finish this fight”
NO NoJonesMMA picks Kaan Ofli VALUE “I'm taking kind Kaan Ofli as the underdog I think that pressure will just be able to make him Buckle”
KU Kunath picks Muhammad Naimov VALUE “I think Muhammad Naimov probably edges out awfully Ola”
NO NotSoLethal picks Muhammad Naimov VALUE “we're going with Muhammad Naimov by Said NurmagomedovubmiSaid NurmagomedovSaid Nurmagomedovion”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Muhammad Naimov VALUE “the pick has to be muhamd neov” $1.29
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Muhammad Naimov VALUE “siento que se le va va a dar este combate”
TP Tony's Picks picks Muhammad Naimov “I like muhamed naov in this spot and I think he definitely gets it done”
UP UFC Bro Picks picks Muhammad Naimov VALUE “I think naov is pretty much better wherever the fight goes I think uh he's a better Striker I think he's a better Grappler so I got nof” $1.74
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Muhammad Naimov VALUE “I think he finishes ulie in the second”
MM MMA Mamba picks Muhammad Naimov VALUE “second leg Muhammad Naimov versus Kaan Ofli minus 340 that's my lock of the night” $1.29
Recent form last five, most recent first
Naimov11-3
L Santos KO/TKO · R3 Dec '25
W Grad Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Ofli Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Lima Submission · R3 Jun '24
W Silva KO/TKO · R1 Feb '24
Ofli14-4-1
W Reyes Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Zha Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Yizha Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Ramos Submission · R1 Oct '25
L Naimov Decision · R3 Feb '25