MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov
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NI IA Imavov vs AdesanyaMain Card · Middleweight MP SM Page vs MagomedovMain Card · Middleweight SP JR Pavlovich vs RozenstruikMain Card · Heavyweight VO SN Oliveira vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Bantamweight FZ MD Ziam vs DavisMain Card · Lightweight MN KO Naimov vs OfliPreliminary Card · Featherweight SG TP Gaziev vs PetersenPreliminary Card · Heavyweight TM DH McKinney vs HadžovićPreliminary Card · Lightweight JJ MS Jasudavicius vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight BG LA Grad vs AlexanderPreliminary Card · Catchweight HA JP Abdelwahab vs PoguesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Davis v Ziam Lightweight Our fair value $1.77 best price $1.75 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Davis best price · region · EV vs fair $1.77
US BetOnline.ag $1.75 -1%
UK Betway $1.73 -2%
EU Pinnacle $1.74 -2%
AU TABtouch $1.71 -3%
Consensus91 picks · conf 82/99
Ziam 38
53 Davis
UJTTOG pick Ziam
How it endsmethod calls · Davis · crowd line
KO/TKO 9 $6.87
Submission 7 $8.83
Decision 16 $3.86
None 3 $20.61
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Ziam 18-4 VS 11-2 Davis
6'1" height 6'0"
156 lb weight 155 lb
75" reach 72"
29 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.8 strikes landed / min 5.3
43% striking accuracy 52%
2.3 strikes absorbed / min 5.8
61% striking defence 55%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 2.8
37% takedown accuracy 53%
66% takedown defence 64%
1.9 submissions / 15 min 0.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market57% vs 57%
Consensus53 of 91 analysts
Sharpest angleDavis by Decision — 16 of 35 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MJ MMA JOEY picks Farès Ziam “Farès Ziam gets it done via unanimous decision”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Farès Ziam VALUE “my subscribers and I went with farzam” $3.12
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Farès Ziam VALUE “bet number two Farès Ziam I love this showdown and I think this is why we saw money come in on him he's taller Mike Davis also looks a little nervous so I like that bet we got two units on it at plus 165” $2.65
ES etoft21 sports picks Mike Davis VALUE “I'm going with Mike Davis”
NO NoJonesMMA picks Mike Davis VALUE “I'm taking Mike Davis put your money on this one it's a confident pick”
BY ByoneWorld picks Farès Ziam VALUE “Farès Ziam versus Mike Davis”
⚔P ⚔️Soups MMA Preview⚔️ picks Mike Davis VALUE “I am going to go with Mike Davis”
WM WILL MMA picks Mike Davis “I'll go Mike Davis”
NO NotSoLethal picks Farès Ziam VALUE “I'm going Shamil garer to no ThomaSaid Nurmagomedov PeterSaid Nurmagomedoven uh in round one”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Mike Davis VALUE “Mike Mike Davis the call for me” $1.71
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Mike Davis VALUE “I actually had Mike Davis in my luck ratings though and I was hoping the line would continue to fall” $1.71
NC Nick Cieslak picks Farès Ziam VALUE “I'm going to go Farès Ziam as I didn't actually see as an underdog so yeah I'm going to go Farès Ziam as an underdog”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Ziam18-4
L Nolan Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Sadykhov KO/TKO · R2 Dec '25
W Davis Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Frevola KO/TKO · R3 Sep '24
W Puelles Decision · R3 Feb '24
Davis11-2
W Ramirez KO/TKO · R2 Jul '25
L Ziam Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Levy Submission · R2 Mar '24
W Borshchev Decision · R3 Oct '22
W Jones Decision · R3 Jan '21