MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov
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NI IA Imavov vs AdesanyaMain Card · Middleweight MP SM Page vs MagomedovMain Card · Middleweight SP JR Pavlovich vs RozenstruikMain Card · Heavyweight VO SN Oliveira vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Bantamweight FZ MD Ziam vs DavisMain Card · Lightweight MN KO Naimov vs OfliPreliminary Card · Featherweight SG TP Gaziev vs PetersenPreliminary Card · Heavyweight TM DH McKinney vs HadžovićPreliminary Card · Lightweight JJ MS Jasudavicius vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight BG LA Grad vs AlexanderPreliminary Card · Catchweight HA JP Abdelwahab vs PoguesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE We back Abdelwahab over Pogues · Heavyweight Our fair value$1.79 PlayUp pays above fair $1.88
Where to back Abdelwahab best price · region · EV vs fair $1.79
US BetRivers $1.83 +2%
UK Virgin Bet $1.83 +2%
EU NordicBet $1.85 +4%
AU PlayUp $1.88 +5%
Consensus71 picks · conf 76/99
Abdelwahab 44
27 Pogues
SBBJTT pick Abdelwahab
How it endsmethod calls · Abdelwahab · crowd line
KO/TKO 6 $5.95
Decision 14 $2.55
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Abdelwahab 5-0 VS 11-4 Pogues
6'2" height 6'3"
264 lb weight 264 lb
72" reach 77"
33 age 30
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.9 strikes landed / min 3.4
52% striking accuracy 44%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 4.2
59% striking defence 50%
3.0 takedowns / 15 min 2.4
75% takedown accuracy 48%
0% takedown defence 77%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market56% vs 53%
Consensus44 of 71 analysts
Sharpest angleAbdelwahab by Decision — 14 of 20 method calls
Recommendation Back Abdelwahab @ $1.88 · fair $1.79 +5% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MJ MMA JOEY picks Hamdy Abdelwahab “Hamdi Abdel wahab wins via decision split decision”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Hamdy Abdelwahab VALUE “I'd go for Hamdy Abdelwahab” $1.91
DR DRYWALL picks Hamdy Abdelwahab VALUE “I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_19 going with HD”
ES etoft21 sports picks Hamdy Abdelwahab VALUE “I'm pretty confident with this play having Said Nurmagomedov”
US Uselyis picks Hamdy Abdelwahab VALUE “I am on Hamdi Abdula wab he was on my six Best Bets I'm on him just money line I'm going to take this fight to go the distance at a minus 215 and I'm going to take the double chance Hamdi by KO on points at a minus 105 just to reduce the odds a little bit so give me Hamdi to win this fight by unanimous decision” $2.04
BM Brick MMA picks Hamdy Abdelwahab “I'm just going to go with Hamdy Abdelwahab”
NO NotSoLethal picks Hamdy Abdelwahab VALUE “I'm going with Michael Page I think Michael Page Sharabutdin Magomedovould win the deciSaid Nurmagomedovion”
FN Fight Night picks Jamal Pogues “you can't go wrong with the former champ”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Hamdy Abdelwahab VALUE “I got to go Hamdy Abdelwahab abdulah wahab to win it” $1.88
TP Tony's Picks picks Hamdy Abdelwahab “I think ham diab Abdul get the job done and win”
ZO ZombiemanJay picks Hamdy Abdelwahab “we're going to go Hamdi Abdu by like I guess he gets to win”
CM Crashout MMA picks Hamdy Abdelwahab “based on this stats Hamdy Abdelwahab is going to win”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Abdelwahab5-0
W Barnett Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Usman Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Pogues Decision · R3 Feb '25
Pogues11-4
L Abdelwahab Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Petersen Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Parkin Decision · R3 Jul '23
W Parisian Decision · R3 Feb '23