UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · breakdown
Episode 266-UFC Mexico City & WWE Elimination Chamber Official Predictions
TP
The Surprise Jab Podcast57% hit
4 months ago
4W–6L · -4.4u
10/13 graded
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
WS
Wesley Schultz
v Damian Pinas
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“we're going to go with West Shelz over Damian Pinas by, we'll say, round one submission.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$3.20
→
close$3.30
Schultz’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.95
FM
Francis Marshall
v Erik Silva
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Francis Marshall
v Erik Silva
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“Stick with Francis Marshall here. I mean, just 38 38 and having any shred of potential and in the featherweight division. I don't see that coming true. So, give me Francis Marshall probably by split decision.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.15
→
close$1.17
Marshall’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.19
EK
Ernesta Kareckaitė
v Sofia Montenegro
PROP · KO/TKO
Ernesta Kareckaitė
v Sofia Montenegro
PROP · KO/TKO
“So I'm going to lean on the side of her nest caric. I was maybe probably I was actually probably not going to pick her but just Regina Tarin Regina Regina Tarin is just so green and on short notice on freaking 4 days notice three days notice I should say I I ran with her so give me Ernesta Kareckaitė maybe by knockout you know they call her heavy-handed let's go and get a knockout for goodness sakes”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.63
→
now$1.62
Kareckaitė’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.29
CQ
Cristian Quiñonez
v Kris Moutinho
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Cristian Quiñonez
v Kris Moutinho
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I got Cristian Quiñonez probably utilizing the grappling here. Probably utilizing the grappling, taking him down, getting an early submission.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.17
→
close$1.17
Quiñonez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.15
RG
Ryan Gandra
v José Daniel Medina
PROP · KO/TKO
Ryan Gandra
v José Daniel Medina
PROP · KO/TKO
“So, Ryan Gandra, round one knockout. Take it to the bank. Honestly, that might be one of my locks for the night. Ryan Gandra, lock that in.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.17
→
now$1.17
Gandra’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.18
ÉC
Édgar Cháirez
v Felipe Bunes
MONEYLINE
WON
Édgar Cháirez
v Felipe Bunes
MONEYLINE
WON
“going to be riding with Édgar Cháirez. He's not only the hometown guy, but I just think overall he's a better fighter.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.33
→
close$1.34
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
DZ
Daniel Zellhuber
v King Green
MONEYLINE
LOST
Daniel Zellhuber
v King Green
MONEYLINE
LOST
“going to go with Daniel Zellhuber. I think there's potential to even get a finish on here, but man, you got to want it.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.22
→
close$1.22
entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish
MV
Marlon Vera
v David Martínez
MONEYLINE
LOST
Marlon Vera
v David Martínez
MONEYLINE
LOST
“We're going to go with Marlon Vera because I kind of want the thrill of rooting for him when he takes on Dave Martinez. And I also do think that he has great potential to defeat Dave Martinez.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.65
→
close$3.65
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
BM
Brandon Moreno
v Lone'er Kavanagh
MONEYLINE
LOST
Brandon Moreno
v Lone'er Kavanagh
MONEYLINE
LOST
“this is just one of my locks of the night. Brandon Moreno,”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.53
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
AP
Ailín Pérez
v Macy Chiasson
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Ailín Pérez
v Macy Chiasson
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“Alen Perez, get it done. Grapple your way to a victory over Macy Chiasson. ... Ailín Pérez, my biggest riser in the woman's bantweight division.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.62
→
close$1.62
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
JR
Javier Reyes
v Douglas Silva de Andrade
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
Javier Reyes
v Douglas Silva de Andrade
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
“So you already know we're going to be riding with Javier Reyes by knockout. It just it feels like the right pick. It really does. ... We're going Javier Reyes round one knockout.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.47
→
close$1.47
Reyes’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.42
SL
Santiago Luna
v Angel Pacheco
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Santiago Luna
v Angel Pacheco
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“So, we're going to take this highlighter right here... give me Santiago Luna.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.21
→
close$1.21
entry: LeoVegas (SE) · best in any region at publish
IR
Imanol Rodriguez
v Kevin Borjas
MONEYLINE
—
Imanol Rodriguez
v Kevin Borjas
MONEYLINE
—
“Imanol Rodriguez, this should be a coming out party for you. ... Imanol Rodriguez should put on a boxing master class.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.24
→
now$1.25
entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish