MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
Choose a fight to analyse
BM LK Moreno vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight MV DM Vera vs MartínezMain Card · Bantamweight DZ KG Zellhuber vs GreenMain Card · Lightweight ÉC FB Cháirez vs BunesMain Card · Flyweight SL AP Luna vs PachecoMain Card · Bantamweight AP MC Pérez vs ChiassonPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight DA JR Andrade vs ReyesPreliminary Card · Featherweight ES FM Silva vs MarshallPreliminary Card · Featherweight DP WS Pinas vs SchultzPreliminary Card · Middleweight IR KB Rodríguez vs BorjasMain Card · Flyweight RT EK Tarin vs KareckaitėPreliminary Card · Catchweight RG JM Gandra vs MedinaPreliminary Card · Middleweight CQ KM Quiñónez vs MoutinhoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE We back Silva over Marshall · Featherweight Our fair value$6.87 Pinnacle pays above fair $7.00
Where to back Silva best price · region · EV vs fair $6.87
US Caesars $7.00 +2%
UK Grosvenor $6.75 -2%
EU Pinnacle $7.00 +2%
AU TABtouch $6.75 -2%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $7.14
Consensus122 picks · conf 97/99
Silva 19
103 Marshall
TWMMDH pick Silva
How it endsmethod calls · Silva · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $27.49
Submission 1 $27.49
Decision 2 $13.75
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Silva 9-3 VS 9-3 Marshall
5'9" height 5'9"
146 lb weight 145 lb
71" reach 72"
39 age 27
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.1 strikes landed / min 3.7
70% striking accuracy 34%
1.6 strikes absorbed / min 4.2
40% striking defence 53%
3.8 takedowns / 15 min 2.7
80% takedown accuracy 41%
62% takedown defence 50%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market15% vs 14%
Consensus19 of 122 analysts
Sharpest angleSilva by Decision — 2 of 4 method calls
Recommendation Back Silva @ $7.00 · fair $6.87 +2% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TR TrueComboMMA picks Erik Silva “I'm taking Erik Silva”
MM MmaTape picks Erik Silva VALUE “I bet on it. I'll show you that in a minute. But Francis Marshall, he should win the fight. ... Sprinkle Erik Silva by sub, you'd be stupid not to because it's his only win condition.”
MM MmaTape picks Francis Marshall VALUE “Francis Marshall, he beats Erik Silva everywhere, but hey, you got to respect that Erik Silva. What he does is submissions, so he could get a lucky sub. ... But Francis Marshall, he should win the fight.”
VI VinceMMA picks Erik Silva VALUE “I'm going to go Erik Silva by decision”
VI VinceMMA picks Francis Marshall VALUE “I'm going to go Francis Marshall by decision”
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Francis Marshall “I'm going to go with Francis Marshall to win this fight.”
CN Correlation Nation picks Francis Marshall “I definitely favor Francis Marshall in this fight.”
MM MMA Mobsters picks Francis Marshall “But yeah, Francis Marshall rolls here. I think that Francis Marshall is an be Francis Marshall for me this week.”
MC McManusMMA picks Francis Marshall “I think Francis Marshall's just like submit Erik Silva.”
CP Clinch Conversations Podcast picks Francis Marshall VALUE “I'm a big Francis Marshall guy.”
BM Bozing MMA picks Francis Marshall “I got him by finish uh probably like in the middle of this fight. Probably KO.”
MA MaybeLuissMMA picks Francis Marshall “I got Marshall uh by finishing round one or two.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Silva9-3
L Marshall Submission · R1 Feb '26
L Naimov KO/TKO · R1 Feb '24
L Brown Submission · R3 Dec '22
Marshall9-3
W Brennan Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Silva Submission · R1 Feb '26
L Santos Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Buzukja Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Dulgarian KO/TKO · R1 Aug '23