MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
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BM LK Moreno vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight MV DM Vera vs MartínezMain Card · Bantamweight DZ KG Zellhuber vs GreenMain Card · Lightweight ÉC FB Cháirez vs BunesMain Card · Flyweight SL AP Luna vs PachecoMain Card · Bantamweight AP MC Pérez vs ChiassonPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight DA JR Andrade vs ReyesPreliminary Card · Featherweight ES FM Silva vs MarshallPreliminary Card · Featherweight DP WS Pinas vs SchultzPreliminary Card · Middleweight IR KB Rodríguez vs BorjasMain Card · Flyweight RT EK Tarin vs KareckaitėPreliminary Card · Catchweight RG JM Gandra vs MedinaPreliminary Card · Middleweight CQ KM Quiñónez vs MoutinhoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE We back Pérez over Chiasson · Women'S Bantamweight Our fair value$1.49 Unibet (UK) pays above fair $1.60
Where to back Pérez best price · region · EV vs fair $1.49
US FanDuel $1.57 +6%
UK Unibet (UK) $1.60 +8%
EU Coolbet $1.56 +5%
AU SportsBet $1.55 +4%
Consensus141 picks · conf 99/99
Pérez 111
30 Chiasson
TTMERM pick Pérez
How it endsmethod calls · Pérez · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $20.80
Submission 1 $20.80
Decision 11 $1.89
None 1 $20.80
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pérez 11-2 VS 11-6 Chiasson
— height 5'11"
— weight 135 lb
— reach 72"
31 age 34
Switch stance Orthodox
2.8 strikes landed / min 4.2
58% striking accuracy 58%
1.3 strikes absorbed / min 2.7
57% striking defence 56%
5.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
51% takedown accuracy 57%
66% takedown defence 69%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 1.1
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market67% vs 62%
Consensus111 of 141 analysts
Sharpest anglePérez by Decision — 11 of 14 method calls
Recommendation Back Pérez @ $1.60 · fair $1.49 +8% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Macy Chiasson “I'm going to go with Macy Chiasson.”
CN Correlation Nation picks Ailín Pérez “I'll favor Ailín Pérez ever so slightly”
MM MMA Mobsters picks Ailín Pérez “victory for Ailín Pérez here”
DB DFS Bachelor picks Macy Chiasson “I definitely like her. She's at what, 7,900, I believe.”
J- J-Dog picks Macy Chiasson VALUE “I really want Macy Chiasson NOT_IN_ROSTER_7 to win.”
J- J-Dog picks Ailín Pérez VALUE “I feel like Ailín Pérez is going to win though, so I'm going to go with her.”
MC McManusMMA picks Ailín Pérez “Ailín Pérez is going to towards Ailín Pérez by decision.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Ailín Pérez “I got Ailín Pérez by TKO.”
CP Clinch Conversations Podcast picks Ailín Pérez VALUE “Eileen Ailín Pérez for sure has momentum, Eileen Ailín Pérez, dude makes a lot of money Eileen Ailín Pérez, man, is riding some Ailín Pérez here.”
CP Clinch Conversations Podcast picks Macy Chiasson VALUE “We got Macy Chiasson on the card. Um, fighting Ailín Pérez.”
BM Bozing MMA picks Ailín Pérez “just get a decision win the woman's way, 29-28”
MA MaybeLuissMMA picks Ailín Pérez “I got Ailín Pérez in this one by decision”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pérez11-2
W Chiasson Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Rosa Decision · R3 Jan '25
W Zheleznyakova Submission · R1 Sep '24
W Edwards Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Pudilová Decision · R3 Nov '23
Chiasson11-6
L Pérez Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Santos Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Vieira Decision · R3 May '25
W Silva KO/TKO · R2 Jun '24
W Kianzad Submission · R1 Mar '24