MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
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BM LK Moreno vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight MV DM Vera vs MartínezMain Card · Bantamweight DZ KG Zellhuber vs GreenMain Card · Lightweight ÉC FB Cháirez vs BunesMain Card · Flyweight SL AP Luna vs PachecoMain Card · Bantamweight AP MC Pérez vs ChiassonPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight DA JR Andrade vs ReyesPreliminary Card · Featherweight ES FM Silva vs MarshallPreliminary Card · Featherweight DP WS Pinas vs SchultzPreliminary Card · Middleweight IR KB Rodríguez vs BorjasMain Card · Flyweight RT EK Tarin vs KareckaitėPreliminary Card · Catchweight RG JM Gandra vs MedinaPreliminary Card · Middleweight CQ KM Quiñónez vs MoutinhoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Reyes v Silva de Andrade Featherweight Our fair value $1.46 best price $1.44 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Reyes best price · region · EV vs fair $1.46
US BetUS $1.43 -2%
UK Betway $1.44 -1%
EU Coolbet $1.44 -1%
AU Ladbrokes AU $1.44 -1%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.45
Consensus119 picks · conf 95/99
Silva de Andrade 35
84 Reyes
TTMAMW pick Silva de Andrade
How it endsmethod calls · Reyes · crowd line
KO/TKO 7 $3.54
Submission 1 $24.79
Decision 9 $2.75
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Silva de Andrade 29-6 VS 23-5 Reyes
5'7" height 5'10"
136 lb weight 145 lb
69" reach 73"
41 age 32
Orthodox stance --
3.5 strikes landed / min —
38% striking accuracy —
3.9 strikes absorbed / min —
57% striking defence —
0.6 takedowns / 15 min —
42% takedown accuracy —
72% takedown defence —
0.2 submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market69% vs 69%
Consensus84 of 119 analysts
Sharpest angleReyes by Decision — 9 of 17 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Douglas Silva de Andrade “I think uh I think Douglas Silva de Andrade is going to, you know, just have the crafty vet performance to be able to outdo Javier Reyes”
CN Correlation Nation picks Javier Reyes “his path to victory is probably a KO”
DB DFS Bachelor picks Javier Reyes “I think the mid-pric guy >> is Javier Reyes, right? Javier Reyes 8600.”
ES etoft21 sports picks Javier Reyes VALUE “I like Luna uh by knockout”
ES etoft21 sports picks Javier Reyes VALUE “I like Javier Reyes at 8600.”
J- J-Dog picks Javier Reyes VALUE “This one I'm going to go with Javier Reyes.”
MC McManusMMA picks Javier Reyes “I'm going KO because uh Douglas Silva de Andrade is 40”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Javier Reyes “I think I'm also going uh Javier Reyes... both going Javier Reyes... Yes. Yeah... both both going Javier Reyes.”
CP Clinch Conversations Podcast picks Douglas Silva de Andrade VALUE “Santiago Luna by KO or Moreno by TKO or sub.”
CP Clinch Conversations Podcast picks Javier Reyes VALUE “Javier Reyes was And Javier Reyes put on a really good Silva Douglas Silva de Andrade. So, that's interesting.”
BM Bozing MMA picks Douglas Silva de Andrade “I'm going to go with Douglas Silva de Andrade by decision.”
MA MaybeLuissMMA picks Javier Reyes “I got him. I'll say by decision.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Silva de Andrade29-6
L Reyes KO/TKO · R1 Feb '26
L Johns Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Stamann Decision · R3 May '23
L Nurmagomedov Decision · R3 Jul '22
W Morozov Submission · R2 Feb '22
Reyes23-5
L Ofli Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Andrade KO/TKO · R1 Feb '26