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UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
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BM LK Moreno vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight MV DM Vera vs MartínezMain Card · Bantamweight DZ KG Zellhuber vs GreenMain Card · Lightweight ÉC FB Cháirez vs BunesMain Card · Flyweight SL AP Luna vs PachecoMain Card · Bantamweight AP MC Pérez vs ChiassonPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight DA JR Andrade vs ReyesPreliminary Card · Featherweight ES FM Silva vs MarshallPreliminary Card · Featherweight DP WS Pinas vs SchultzPreliminary Card · Middleweight IR KB Rodríguez vs BorjasMain Card · Flyweight RT EK Tarin vs KareckaitėPreliminary Card · Catchweight RG JM Gandra vs MedinaPreliminary Card · Middleweight CQ KM Quiñónez vs MoutinhoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE We back Rodríguez over Borjas · Flyweight Our fair value$1.17 Pinnacle pays above fair $1.25
Where to back Rodríguez best price · region · EV vs fair $1.17
US DraftKings $1.24 +6%
UK LiveScore Bet $1.22 +4%
EU Pinnacle $1.25 +7%
AU Neds $1.24 +6%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.27
Consensus80 picks · conf 79/99
Rodríguez 80
0 Borjas
TMKKOC pick Rodríguez
How it endsmethod calls · Rodríguez · crowd line
KO/TKO 7 $1.67
Submission 1 $11.70
Decision 2 $5.85
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Rodríguez 0-0 VS 10-5 Borjas
— height 5'5"
— weight 126 lb
— reach 68"
— age 28
— stance Orthodox
— strikes landed / min 5.7
— striking accuracy 38%
— strikes absorbed / min 4.1
— striking defence 65%
— takedowns / 15 min 2.9
— takedown accuracy 34%
— takedown defence 61%
— submissions / 15 min 0.9
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market85% vs 80%
Consensus80 of 80 analysts
Sharpest angleRodríguez by KO/TKO — 7 of 10 method calls
Recommendation Back Rodríguez @ $1.25 · fair $1.17 +7% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MM MMA Mobsters picks Imanol Rodríguez “So Imanol Rodríguez Imanol Rodríguez should win. Really, everything Imanol Rodríguez”
MA MaybeLuissMMA picks Imanol Rodríguez “I got Imanol Rodríguez. Another round one knockout”
MM Mayor MMA picks Imanol Rodríguez “Uh I'm going to go with Imanol Rodríguez.”
TS Teddy Striker picks Imanol Rodríguez “Moving on to Imanol Rodríguez going to go with Imanol Rodríguez.”
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Imanol Rodríguez “Imanol Rodríguez to get it done here most with Kevin Borjas”
MK Morning Kombat picks Imanol Rodríguez “say Gandra first, then Imanol Rodríguez, then against Kevin Borjas.”
SC ScriptedMMA picks Imanol Rodríguez “I think that Imanol Rodríguez by decision.”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Imanol Rodríguez “Give me Imanol Rodríguez inside against Kevin Borjas.” $1.83
CH ChasingCombat picks Imanol Rodríguez “Overall, Imanol Rodríguez is the pick.”
PM PUNCH ONS MMA picks Imanol Rodríguez “clips Kevin Borjas in round one”
AM All Elbows MMA picks Imanol Rodríguez “I'm also taking Imanol Rodríguez. Uh Kevin Borjas is fight. I think this is Imanol Rodríguez's fight.”
HN Hidden Source News picks Imanol Rodríguez “my pick is Imanol Rodríguez to win”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Rodríguez0-0
W Borjas KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
Borjas10-5
W Lima Decision · R3 Jun '26
L Rodríguez KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
L Mudaerji Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Rodríguez Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Costa KO/TKO · R2 May '24