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MMA Gambling Podcast - SGPN
UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev · breakdown

UFC 319 Main Card Preview, Predictions, and Picks (Ep890)

MS MMA Gambling Podcast - SGPN58% hit
10 months ago 5W–7L · -0.1u 12/13 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
KA Kai Asakura v Tim Elliott MONEYLINE LOST
“Ascar should be able to pass this test. I will take him with his pick.”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.37 close$1.35
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
TE Tim Elliott v Kai Asakura MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going to take a swing on on Tim Elliot here.”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$3.75 close$3.85
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
MP Michael Page v Jared Cannonier MONEYLINE WON
“I'm gonna go dog out the gate. I like Yeah, I like Jared Canon here.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.56 close$1.56
entry: LiveScore Bet · best in any region at publish
JC Jared Cannonier v Michael Page MONEYLINE LOST
“Give me Jared Cannonier.”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.82 close$2.84
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
CP Carlos Prates v Geoff Neal MONEYLINE WON
“Give me Carlos Prates here. Geoff Neal is past it.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.49 close$1.50
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
GN Geoff Neal v Carlos Prates MONEYLINE LOST
“I still think Geoff Neal's like a top 15 guy. Like I know he hasn't won fights.”
Line since pick CLV −6%
◆ entry$3.15 close$3.35
entry: LiveScore Bet · best in any region at publish
AP Aaron Pico v Lerone Murphy MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm gonna go Aaron Pico.”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.65 close$1.68
entry: LiveScore Bet · best in any region at publish
LM Lerone Murphy v Aaron Pico MONEYLINE WON
“I thought you were going I knew that. undefeated fighter who's not not gonna have UFC jitters obviously and has fought uh and beaten better opponents than Aaron Pico.”
Line since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$2.56 close$2.65
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
KC Khamzat Chimaev v Dricus du Plessis MONEYLINE WON
“The challenger minus 210 a big favorite still knocks the champ.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.50 close$1.50
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
DP Dricus du Plessis v Khamzat Chimaev MONEYLINE LOST
“Dricus du Plessis is my pick here.”
Line since pick CLV −13%
◆ entry$3.02 close$3.46
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
BB Bryan Battle v Nursulton Ruziboev MONEYLINE VALUE
“Brian Bryan Battle minus 155. Uh I as I said yesterday, I love the line here for that.”
Line since pick CLV −17%
◆ entry$1.67 now$2.00
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
GM Gerald Meerschaert v Michał Oleksiejczuk PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“Gerald Gerald Meerschaert. We're locking you in on what do we have that one? It's in the twos 205.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −6%
◆ entry$3.08 close$3.28
Meerschaert’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CH Chase Hooper v Alexander Hernandez PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“Chase Chase Hooper by sub.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.38 close$1.38
Hooper’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.00