UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · breakdown
My Full Card Breakdown for UFC Mexico (Moreno vs Kavanagh)
BM
Bozing MMA70% hit
4 months ago
9W–6L · -0.8u
15/20 graded
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
DP
Damian Pinas
v Wesley Schultz
MONEYLINE
WON
Damian Pinas
v Wesley Schultz
MONEYLINE
WON
“I think he's just going to win this fight by a first round knockout, honestly.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.42
→
close$1.42
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
FM
Francis Marshall
v Erik Silva
MONEYLINE
WON
Francis Marshall
v Erik Silva
MONEYLINE
WON
“I got him by finish uh probably like in the middle of this fight. Probably KO.”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.15
→
close$1.17
entry: Hard Rock Bet · best in any region at publish
EK
Ernesta Kareckaitė
v Sofia Montenegro
MONEYLINE
Ernesta Kareckaitė
v Sofia Montenegro
MONEYLINE
“I'm going to go with the Ernesta Kareckaitė in this one.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.63
→
now$1.63
entry: PlayUp · best in any region at publish
EK
Ernesta Kareckaitė
v Sofia Montenegro
PROP · DECISION
Ernesta Kareckaitė
v Sofia Montenegro
PROP · DECISION
“I'm going to go her by decision. 2928.”
Analyst’s stated line
$1.63
price at publish — tracking starts with the next snapshot
DA
Douglas Silva de Andrade
v Javier Reyes
MONEYLINE
LOST
Douglas Silva de Andrade
v Javier Reyes
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm going to go with Douglas Silva de Andrade by decision.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.05
→
close$3.05
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
DA
Douglas Silva de Andrade
v Javier Reyes
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Douglas Silva de Andrade
v Javier Reyes
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'm going to go with Douglas Silva de Andrade by decision.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.05
→
close$3.05
Andrade’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CQ
Cristian Quiñonez
v Kris Moutinho
MONEYLINE
WON
Cristian Quiñonez
v Kris Moutinho
MONEYLINE
WON
“Cristian Quiñonez isn't that good himself either, but he's got some power. He's shown better skill in the UFC.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.17
→
close$1.17
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
CQ
Cristian Quiñonez
v Kris Moutinho
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Cristian Quiñonez
v Kris Moutinho
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“Cristian Quiñonez, [snorts] I think he's going to get this one by KO in the first couple rounds”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.17
→
close$1.17
Quiñonez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AP
Ailín Pérez
v Macy Chiasson
MONEYLINE
WON
Ailín Pérez
v Macy Chiasson
MONEYLINE
WON
“just get a decision win the woman's way, 29-28”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.60
→
close$1.62
entry: Unibet (UK) · best in any region at publish
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.60
→
close$1.62
Pérez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
RG
Ryan Gandra
v José Daniel Medina
MONEYLINE
Ryan Gandra
v José Daniel Medina
MONEYLINE
“I think Ryan Gandra's get a first round take TKO here.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.17
→
now$1.17
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
IR
Imanol Rodriguez
v Kevin Borjas
MONEYLINE
Imanol Rodriguez
v Kevin Borjas
MONEYLINE
“I think Imanol Rodriguez is just going to be more aggressive, more output, more powerful, more dangerous, and I think he's going to get either a KO victory here or a decision win.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.24
→
now$1.25
entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish
IR
Imanol Rodriguez
v Kevin Borjas
PROP · KO/TKO
Imanol Rodriguez
v Kevin Borjas
PROP · KO/TKO
“I think Imanol Rodriguez is just going to be more aggressive, more output, more powerful, more dangerous, and I think he's going to get either a KO victory here or a decision win.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.24
→
now$1.25
Rodriguez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
ÉC
Édgar Cháirez
v Felipe Bunes
MONEYLINE
WON
Édgar Cháirez
v Felipe Bunes
MONEYLINE
WON
“I think Édgar Cháirez could threaten subs or keep it on the feet, outbox him and get a and get a finish win sometime this fight.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.33
→
close$1.34
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
DZ
Daniel Zellhuber
v King Green
MONEYLINE
LOST
Daniel Zellhuber
v King Green
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm going to go Daniel Zellhuber by decision. Maybe a KO, but I'm I'm going to lean by decision.”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.22
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
DM
David Martínez
v Marlon Vera
MONEYLINE
WON
David Martínez
v Marlon Vera
MONEYLINE
WON
“And uh he gets it done by decision in this one. I don't think he's going to finish Marlon Vera. I think he just gets it done by decision based on output, of course.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.36
→
close$1.38
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish
DM
David Martínez
v Marlon Vera
PROP · DECISION
WON
David Martínez
v Marlon Vera
PROP · DECISION
WON
“And uh he gets it done by decision in this one. I don't think he's going to finish Marlon Vera. I think he just gets it done by decision based on output, of course.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.36
→
close$1.38
Martínez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BM
Brandon Moreno
v Lone'er Kavanagh
MONEYLINE
LOST
Brandon Moreno
v Lone'er Kavanagh
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I think Bernard Marino is going to win this fight.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.52
→
close$1.53
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
SL
Santiago Luna
v Angel Pacheco
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
Santiago Luna
v Angel Pacheco
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
“I think he's a big reach advantage... I think he's going to get a early finish here by TKO over Angel Pacheco's”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.21
→
close$1.21
Luna’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
SL
Santiago Luna
v Angel Pacheco
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Santiago Luna
v Angel Pacheco
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I think he's a big reach advantage... I think he's going to get a early finish here by TKO over Angel Pacheco's”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.21
→
close$1.21
entry: LeoVegas (SE) · best in any region at publish