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UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates · breakdown

UFC fight night Garry vs Prates - full card picks

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14 months ago 7W–6L · -1.8u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
JE Joselyne Edwards v Chelsea Chandler MONEYLINE WON
“give me Joselyne Edwards. Uh, most likely decision or some kind of over, but whatever. The pick is Joselyne Edwards.”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.35 close$1.38
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
RR Roberto Romero v Timothy Cuamba MONEYLINE LOST
“The pick's going to be Roberto Romero just because you know it was kind of impressive the way he dropped David Onama.”
Line since pick CLV −10%
◆ entry$1.85 close$2.05
entry: PlayUp · best in any region at publish
JA Jaqueline Amorim v Polyana Viana PROP · SUBMISSION WON
“nine and one, Jacqueline is going to submit Pauliana Via. I think she's going to do it very easily.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.18 close$1.18
Amorim’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MW Malcolm Wellmaker v Cameron Saaiman MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going to take the shot on Malcolm Malcolm Wellmaker here as a pick”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.92 close$1.96
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
JC John Castañeda v Chris Gutiérrez PROP · DECISION LOST
“I'm going to pick Castanada by decision.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$2.25 close$2.33
Castañeda’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
IA Ikram Aliskerov v André Muniz PROP · KO/TKO WON
“Iram by knockout.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.20 close$1.22
Aliskerov’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.17
ND Nicolas Dalby v Randy Brown MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm going to say Nicolas Dalby. [ __ ] it. He's the pick.”
Line since pick CLV −13%
◆ entry$3.11 close$3.56
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish
MP Michel Pereira v Abusupiyan Magomedov MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm going to take Michel Pereira.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.74 close$1.74
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
ZM Zhang Mingyang v Anthony Smith PROP · KO/TKO WON
“give me Mingyang Jang by knockout.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.24 close$1.27
Mingyang’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.18
DB Da'Mon Blackshear v Alateng Heili MONEYLINE WON
“I think Black Shear has this one based on just abilities.”
Line since pick
no market data captured for this fight
CP Carlos Prates v Ian Machado Garry PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm going to be on Carlos Protest... I'm thinking Carlos Pratess uh I was hoping that Gary would be a favorite... Either way, Gary K. He's minus 138 and Pro has got it's gone up to plus 110. Okay. Well, I'm gonna be on Carlos Protest.”
Analyst’s stated line $2.10
analyst’s stated line — no market snapshots for this fight
DO David Onama v Giga Chikadze MONEYLINE WON
“I'm taking Giga Chici... but everything in this fight leans toward David Onama's advantage... [ __ ] it. I'm taking Giga... Wait, no, David Onama for me.”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.62 close$1.59
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
MS Matt Schnell v Jimmy Flick PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I think he's going to knock Jimmy Flick out... the pick is Matt Schnell.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −7%
◆ entry$1.54 close$1.65
Schnell’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted