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Mingyang vs SmithMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Onama vs ChikadzeMain Card · Catchweight
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Magomedov vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight
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Brown vs DalbyMain Card · Welterweight
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Aliskerov vs MunizMain Card · Middleweight
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Schnell vs FlickPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Elder vs YoungPreliminary Card · Lightweight
CG
JC
Gutiérrez vs CastañedaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
DB
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Blackshear vs HeiliPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Wellmaker vs SaaimanPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Machado Garry v Prates
Welterweight
Our fair value
$1.53
best price —
PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Machado Garry
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.53
No regional prices quoted for this fight yet.
How it endsmethod calls · Machado Garry · crowd line
KO/TKO
16
$5.35
Submission
8
$10.70
Decision
32
$2.68
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Machado Garry 15-0
VS
23-7 Prates
6'3"
height
6'1"
171 lb
weight
170 lb
74"
reach
78"
28
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Switch
5.5
strikes landed / min
4.4
55%
striking accuracy
57%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
52%
striking defence
48%
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
0.4
55%
takedown accuracy
100%
69%
takedown defence
91%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Consensus80 of 123 analysts
Sharpest angleMachado Garry by Decision — 32 of 56 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GP
Greedo Plays picks Ian Machado Garry
“We've got our UFC fight Ian Machado Garry versus Carlos Prates full card predictions. Make sure to go check that out.”
Greedo Plays picks Ian Machado Garry
“We've got our UFC fight Ian Machado Garry versus Carlos Prates full card predictions. Make sure to go check that out.”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Carlos Prates
“We've got our UFC fight Ian Machado Garry versus Carlos Prates full card predictions. Make sure to go check that out.”
Greedo Plays picks Carlos Prates
“We've got our UFC fight Ian Machado Garry versus Carlos Prates full card predictions. Make sure to go check that out.”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
The Rambling Dad picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Ian Machado Garry
“I'm going to pick Ian Machado Garry.”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Ian Machado Garry
“I'm going to pick Ian Machado Garry.”
JM
Jairo MMA picks Carlos Prates VALUE
“creo que Jan Machado Garry no tiene la mandíbula suficiente para aguantar esos batacazos durante los cinco asaltos que dura la pelea.”
Jairo MMA picks Carlos Prates VALUE
“creo que Jan Machado Garry no tiene la mandíbula suficiente para aguantar esos batacazos durante los cinco asaltos que dura la pelea.”
T™
TheWagerZone ™ picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“give me Ian Machado Ian Machado Garry to win this fight”
TheWagerZone ™ picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“give me Ian Machado Ian Machado Garry to win this fight”
RK
Rico Knows picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“Shout out to Ian Machado, Gary. I'm rocking with you, bro. It is a coin flip. Don't get carried away. Don't go multiple multiple units. [...] That's 66% of the time.”
Rico Knows picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“Shout out to Ian Machado, Gary. I'm rocking with you, bro. It is a coin flip. Don't get carried away. Don't go multiple multiple units. [...] That's 66% of the time.”
MH
MMA Hoje picks Carlos Prates VALUE
“Eu acho que o Carlos Carlos Pratesos vai ganhar.”
MMA Hoje picks Carlos Prates VALUE
“Eu acho que o Carlos Carlos Pratesos vai ganhar.”
NG
Next Round Gaming picks Ian Machado Garry
“Ian Machado Garry gets caught with that punch.”
Next Round Gaming picks Ian Machado Garry
“Ian Machado Garry gets caught with that punch.”
DB
Denver Sports Betting picks Ian Machado Garry
“I'm going Ian Machado Garry, man.”
Denver Sports Betting picks Ian Machado Garry
“I'm going Ian Machado Garry, man.”
DB
Denver Sports Betting picks Carlos Prates
“Carlos Prates I think he just turns the lights out.”
Denver Sports Betting picks Carlos Prates
“Carlos Prates I think he just turns the lights out.”
MK
Morning Kombat picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“Main event. I mean, Ian Machado Garry's probably going to win, right?”
Morning Kombat picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“Main event. I mean, Ian Machado Garry's probably going to win, right?”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Machado Garry15-0
W
Muhammad
Nov '25
W
Prates
Apr '25
L
Rakhmonov
Dec '24
W
Page
Jun '24
W
Neal
Feb '24
Prates23-7
W
Maddalena
May '26
W
Edwards
Nov '25
W
Neal
Aug '25
L
Garry
Apr '25
W
Magny
Nov '24