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UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates
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IG CP Garry vs PratesMain Card · Welterweight ZM AS Mingyang vs SmithMain Card · Light Heavyweight DO GC Onama vs ChikadzeMain Card · Catchweight AM MP Magomedov vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight RB ND Brown vs DalbyMain Card · Welterweight IA AM Aliskerov vs MunizMain Card · Middleweight MS JF Schnell vs FlickPreliminary Card · Flyweight EE GY Elder vs YoungPreliminary Card · Lightweight CG JC Gutiérrez vs CastañedaPreliminary Card · Featherweight DB AH Blackshear vs HeiliPreliminary Card · Bantamweight MW CS Wellmaker vs SaaimanPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JA PV Amorim vs VianaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight TC RR Cuamba vs RomeroPreliminary Card · Featherweight JE CC Edwards vs ChandlerPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BEST PRICE We back Pereira over Magomedov · Middleweight Our fair value$1.75 Pinnacle pays above fair $1.79
Where to back Pereira best price · region · EV vs fair $1.75
US DraftKings $1.77 +1%
UK Virgin Bet $1.67 -5%
EU Pinnacle $1.79 +2%
AU PlayUp $1.74 -1%
Consensus68 picks · conf 75/99
Magomedov 27
41 Pereira
C9SYBP pick Magomedov
How it endsmethod calls · Pereira · crowd line
KO/TKO 23 $2.59
Submission 4 $14.90
Decision 5 $11.92
None 2 $29.79
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Magomedov 28-7-1 VS 32-14 Pereira
6'2" height 6'1"
185 lb weight 186 lb
78" reach 73"
35 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.7 strikes landed / min 5.5
38% striking accuracy 49%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
74% striking defence 59%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.3
60% takedown accuracy 59%
65% takedown defence 59%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 1.9
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market57% vs 56%
Consensus41 of 68 analysts
Sharpest anglePereira by KO/TKO — 23 of 34 method calls
Recommendation Back Pereira @ $1.79 · fair $1.75 +2% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Abusupiyan Magomedov “I'm going to Abusupiyan Magomedov on this one. I'm going to Abusupiyan Magomedov.”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Abusupiyan Magomedov “I'm going with PA, Michelle Pada to get the win here.”
T™ TheWagerZone ™ picks Michel Pereira VALUE “I'm taking Michel Pereira in this one”
XL xLimOnC picks Abusupiyan Magomedov “esta pelea debería llevársela Malcolm Wellmaker”
DB Denver Sports Betting picks Michel Pereira “I think Michel Pereira takes it home.”
KR KROSEOVERkid picks Abusupiyan Magomedov VALUE “We're going to go with Abusupiyan Magomedov.”
FE FenceHugMMA picks Abusupiyan Magomedov VALUE “I'm going to go with a boost mag here. Abusupiyan Magomedov is the clear side in this one at plus 120.” $2.20
BB Beat The Line Broadcast picks Michel Pereira “Not directly quoted.”
BB Beat The Line Broadcast picks Abusupiyan Magomedov “Not directly quoted.”
PN Picks Nation picks Michel Pereira VALUE “I think he's going to just outclass Aboose and get a powerful finish.”
WP We Want Picks picks Michel Pereira “I am going to pick Michelle.”
LM Luis MMA picks Michel Pereira “si me tengo que quedar con alguien voy con el brasileño”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Magomedov28-7-1
W Oleksiejczuk Submission · R1 Jun '26
L Pyfer Submission · R2 Oct '25
W Pereira Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Ferreira Submission · R3 Oct '24
W Alves Decision · R3 May '24
Pereira32-14
L Magomedov Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Reese Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Daukaus KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
L Magomedov Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Hernandez KO/TKO · R5 Oct '24