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UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates
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IG CP Garry vs PratesMain Card · Welterweight ZM AS Mingyang vs SmithMain Card · Light Heavyweight DO GC Onama vs ChikadzeMain Card · Catchweight AM MP Magomedov vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight RB ND Brown vs DalbyMain Card · Welterweight IA AM Aliskerov vs MunizMain Card · Middleweight MS JF Schnell vs FlickPreliminary Card · Flyweight EE GY Elder vs YoungPreliminary Card · Lightweight CG JC Gutiérrez vs CastañedaPreliminary Card · Featherweight DB AH Blackshear vs HeiliPreliminary Card · Bantamweight MW CS Wellmaker vs SaaimanPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JA PV Amorim vs VianaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight TC RR Cuamba vs RomeroPreliminary Card · Featherweight JE CC Edwards vs ChandlerPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BEST PRICE We back Chikadze over Onama · Catchweight Our fair value$2.57 Pinnacle pays above fair $2.75
Where to back Chikadze best price · region · EV vs fair $2.57
US Caesars $2.75 +7%
UK Unibet (UK) $2.65 +3%
EU Pinnacle $2.75 +7%
AU PlayUp $2.70 +5%
Consensus66 picks · conf 74/99
Onama 36
30 Chikadze
TbC9PJ pick Onama
How it endsmethod calls · Chikadze · crowd line
KO/TKO 4 $12.21
Decision 15 $3.25
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Onama 13-2 VS 15-4 Chikadze
5'11" height 6'0"
146 lb weight 147 lb
74" reach 74"
32 age 37
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.6 strikes landed / min 3.9
50% striking accuracy 42%
5.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
52% striking defence 61%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.2
20% takedown accuracy 33%
52% takedown defence 70%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market39% vs 36%
Consensus30 of 66 analysts
Sharpest angleChikadze by Decision — 15 of 19 method calls
Recommendation Back Chikadze @ $2.75 · fair $2.57 +7% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks David Onama VALUE “I'm going with David Onama Oama”
T™ TheWagerZone ™ picks David Onama “I'm taking David Onamama”
XL xLimOnC picks David Onama “Jaquelin debería ganar”
XL xLimOnC picks Giga Chikadze “yo creo que esta pelea se la va a llevar Evan Elder”
JW Johnny Walker picks David Onama “Giga Chikadze. I go undite guy David Onama David Onama David Onama Onama David Onama Onamaik”
FE FenceHugMMA picks David Onama “The pick here is David David Onama.”
WP We Want Picks picks David Onama “I do think he wins this fight.”
LM Luis MMA picks Giga Chikadze “creo que Giga Chikadze se ha aprendido mucho de estas dos derrotas y creo que va a demostrar que puede ser un gatekeeper de la división”
JM Jordan Melrose MMA picks Giga Chikadze “So I if Giga can last more than about five minutes, then I think he wins the fight.”
LI LiamthemaestroMMA picks David Onama VALUE “I'm gonna pick David Onamama... I think he is better than Giga.”
FI Fight_Numerology picks Giga Chikadze “I pick Giga Chikadze over David Onama.”
UH Undercard Heroes picks David Onama VALUE “I think David Onama Onama gets this done either by decision, maybe even KO TKO.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Onama13-2
L Garcia KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Chikadze Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Romero Decision · R3 Nov '24
W Pearce Decision · R3 Apr '24
W Santos KO/TKO · R2 Jun '23
Chikadze15-4
L Vallejos KO/TKO · R2 Dec '25
L Onama Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Allen Decision · R3 Jul '24
W Caceres Decision · R3 Aug '23
L Kattar Decision · R5 Jan '22