UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · breakdown

UFC FN Mexico City Predictions and Breakdowns

4 months ago 5W–5L · -2.0u 10/13 graded

Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event

Francis Marshall v Erik Silva PROP · KO/TKO LOST

“Give me Francis Marshall Francis Marshall to piece up Erik Silva in the boxing and finishing him in the middle of the second round.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +4%

◆ entry$1.22 → close$1.17

Marshall’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

Ernesta Kareckaitė v Sofia Montenegro PROP · DECISION

“give me Ernesta Kareckaitė to win this by a close split decision win.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV −18%

◆ entry$1.33 → now$1.62

Kareckaitė’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

Javier Reyes v Douglas Silva de Andrade PROP · KO/TKO WON

“Give me Javier Reyes to win his UFC debut in a fun fight, but ultimately winning in the third round by TKO against the cage with boxing combinations and maybe even some clinch work as well.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV −1%

◆ entry$1.45 → close$1.47

Reyes’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

Cristian Quiñonez v Kris Moutinho PROP · DECISION WON

“give me Cristian Quiñonez to win this fight by a fun decision.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +3%

◆ entry$1.20 → close$1.17

Quiñonez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

Ryan Gandra v José Daniel Medina PROP · SUBMISSION VALUE

“I am going to go with him winning by first round submission.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +4%

◆ entry$1.22 → now$1.17

Gandra’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

Damian Pinas v Wesley Schultz PROP · KO/TKO WON

“Give me Damian Pinas to win this fight by early third round TKO in a very entertaining and competitive fight.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +4%

◆ entry$1.47 → close$1.42

Pinas’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

Ailín Pérez v Macy Chiasson PROP · DECISION WON

“give me Ailín Pérez to win this fight by decision and ultimately setting herself up for a title shot eliminator at women's 135 lbs.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +2%

◆ entry$1.65 → close$1.62

Pérez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

Santiago Luna v Angel Pacheco PROP · SUBMISSION LOST

“give me Santiago Luna to win this fight by submission in late round one or early round two.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +1%

◆ entry$1.22 → close$1.21

Luna’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

Imanol Rodriguez v Kevin Borjas PROP · DECISION

“Give me Emil Rodriguez to win this fight by a rather dominant decision win.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +1%

◆ entry$1.26 → now$1.25

Rodriguez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

ÉC

Édgar Cháirez v Felipe Bunes PROP · KO/TKO LOST

“give me Édgar Cháirez to just wear down Felipe Bunes over the course of the fight and eventually get a late second round TKO with punches against the fence.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +7%

◆ entry$1.44 → close$1.34

Cháirez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

King Green v Daniel Zellhuber PROP · DECISION LOST

“give me King Green to just be able to outdamage Daniel Zellhuber at home and get a dominant decision win.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +2%

◆ entry$5.10 → close$5.00

Green’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $9.00

David Martínez v Marlon Vera PROP · DECISION WON

“give me David David Martínez to just be able to do a little bit more damage throughout the fight, possibly be able to control Marlon Marlon Vera throughout this fight and win a split decision over Marlin Marlon Vera Vera.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$1.38 → close$1.38

Martínez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

Brandon Moreno v Lone'er Kavanagh PROP · SUBMISSION LOST

“give me Brandon Moreno to win by round four or round five submission.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV −6%

◆ entry$1.44 → close$1.53

Moreno’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $11.00