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Mic Talks
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · breakdown

MicTalks UFC MEXICO PICKS

MT Mic Talks59% hit
4 months ago 8W–10L · -4.5u 18/19 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
ES Erik Silva v Francis Marshall MONEYLINE LOST
“I think he's just going to do the better work. And honestly, I could see him getting it done inside the distance.”
Line since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$6.50 close$6.75
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
FM Francis Marshall v Erik Silva MONEYLINE WON
“I think he's just going to do the better work.”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.16 close$1.17
entry: PlayUp · best in any region at publish
JR Javier Reyes v Douglas Silva de Andrade MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going to have to go with Javier Reyes here.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.47 close$1.47
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
KM Kris Moutinho v Cristian Quiñonez MONEYLINE LOST
“Everything points to this being a gimme fight for Christian Kenyonz.”
Line since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$6.00 close$6.25
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
MC Macy Chiasson v Ailín Pérez MONEYLINE LOST
“I came into this video wanting to pick Macy Chiasson.”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.55 close$2.60
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
AP Ailín Pérez v Macy Chiasson MONEYLINE WON
“I think I'm going to have to take Ailín Pérez.”
Line since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.57 close$1.62
entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish
JM José Medina v Ryan Gandra MONEYLINE LOST
“I just don't think José Medina has the skill set required.”
Line since pick
no market data captured for this fight
RG Ryan Gandra v José Daniel Medina MONEYLINE VALUE
“I think they're giving him a real opportunity here to, you know, have a solid debut in the UFC.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.17 now$1.17
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
SL Santiago Luna v Angel Pacheco MONEYLINE WON
“I don't think Angel Pacheco is going to be the guy to um give him his first professional loss here.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.21 close$1.21
entry: LeoVegas (SE) · best in any region at publish
DA Douglas Silva de Andrade v Javier Reyes MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm going to have to go with Douglas Silva de Andrade here.”
Line since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$2.92 close$3.05
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
BM Brandon Moreno v Lone'er Kavanagh MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm gonna get Brandon Moreno to show levels over Lone'er Kavanagh after both fighters are coming off two uh coming off second round knockout losses.”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.50 close$1.53
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
DP Damian Pinas v Wesley Schultz MONEYLINE WON
“I'm gonna go with uh Damen Penas uh by Knockout.”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.44 close$1.42
entry: Fliff · best in any region at publish
AP Angel Pacheco v Santiago Luna MONEYLINE LOST
“I like Sher Dog better than Tapology... He ended up knocking out Kuang Lee. I picked him by submission in that fight.”
Line since pick CLV −9%
◆ entry$5.67 close$6.25
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
AP Angel Pacheco v Santiago Luna PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I like Sher Dog better than Tapology... He ended up knocking out Kuang Lee. I picked him by submission in that fight.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −9%
◆ entry$5.67 close$6.25
Pacheco’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CQ Cristian Quiñónez v Kris Moutinho PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I'm going to go with Cristian Quiñónez. And I think that he's live to find a submission here um over Kris Moutinho.”
Analyst’s stated line
no market data captured for this fight
FB Felipe Bunes v Édgar Cháirez MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm going to go with Felipe Bunes here.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.90 close$3.90
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
ÉC Édgar Cháirez v Felipe Bunes MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going to go with the Mexican here and Édgar Cháirez.”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.33 close$1.34
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
CQ Cristian Quiñónez v Kris Moutinho MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going to go with Cristian Quiñónez. And I think that he's live to find a submission here um over Kris Moutinho.”
Line since pick
no market data captured for this fight
DM David Martínez v Marlon Vera MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going to go with my boy NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 here on a whim. I just have this feeling that he can win this fight.”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.36 close$1.38
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish