UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev · breakdown
UFC 319 BEST BETS: Top Props, Underdogs, and Main Event Bets!
SP
SportsLine56% hit
10 months ago
4W–10L · -3.9u
14/16 graded
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
CH
Chase Hooper
v Alexander Hernandez
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Chase Hooper
v Alexander Hernandez
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“If we go Chase Chase Hooper to win by submission or Alexander Alexander Hernandez to win by decision, you can get that at minus 115.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.38
→
close$1.38
Hooper’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.87
AH
Alexander Hernandez
v Chase Hooper
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Alexander Hernandez
v Chase Hooper
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“or Alexander Alexander Hernandez to win by decision”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$3.64
→
close$3.85
Hernandez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.87
DK
Drakkar Klose
v Edson Barboza
MONEYLINE
WON
Drakkar Klose
v Edson Barboza
MONEYLINE
WON
“I just don't think he's on Barba's level.”
Line since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$2.27
→
close$2.35
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
TE
Tim Elliott
v Kai Asakura
METHOD
WON
Tim Elliott
v Kai Asakura
METHOD
WON
“I'm going to go not to go the distance at minus 125.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$3.75
→
close$3.85
Elliott’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.80
BB
Bryan Battle
v Nursulton Ruziboev
PROP · DECISION
VALUE
Bryan Battle
v Nursulton Ruziboev
PROP · DECISION
VALUE
“I like Nur Sultan, Nursulton Ruziboev, and Brian Bryan Battle to go the distance.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −17%
◆ entry$1.67
→
now$2.00
Battle’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
NR
Nursulton Ruziboev
v Bryan Battle
PROP · DECISION
VALUE
Nursulton Ruziboev
v Bryan Battle
PROP · DECISION
VALUE
“I like Nur Sultan, Nursulton Ruziboev, and Brian Bryan Battle to go the distance in their fight on the prelims.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +27%
◆ entry$2.55
→
now$2.00
Ruziboev’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
GM
Gerald Meerschaert
v Michał Oleksiejczuk
MONEYLINE
LOST
Gerald Meerschaert
v Michał Oleksiejczuk
MONEYLINE
LOST
“Not a good recipe for Gerald Meerschaert who has loose defense.”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$3.08
→
close$3.28
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
DB
Dione Barbosa
v Karine Silva
MONEYLINE
LOST
Dione Barbosa
v Karine Silva
MONEYLINE
LOST
“Going with the ladies in the flyweight, Dione Barbosa at plus 180 against Karen Karine Silva.”
Line since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$2.82
→
close$2.90
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.55
→
close$1.55
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
AP
Aaron Pico
v Lerone Murphy
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Aaron Pico
v Lerone Murphy
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'm just going to say that the method of victory, whichever way that it does go, it's going to be a decision.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.65
→
close$1.68
Pico’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.56
LM
Lerone Murphy
v Aaron Pico
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Lerone Murphy
v Aaron Pico
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“All of his last five wins have come by decision.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$2.56
→
close$2.65
Murphy’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.56
DP
Dricus du Plessis
v Khamzat Chimaev
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Dricus du Plessis
v Khamzat Chimaev
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“So, what I'm actually going to do is go back to that alt market. So, we go duplicity to win by decision or comes out to win by submission.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −13%
◆ entry$3.02
→
close$3.46
Plessis’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
KC
Khamzat Chimaev
v Dricus du Plessis
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Khamzat Chimaev
v Dricus du Plessis
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“we go duplicity to win by decision or comes out to win by submission.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.50
Chimaev’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
KA
Kai Asakura
v Tim Elliott
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Kai Asakura
v Tim Elliott
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“And he says if Tim Elliott comes in here with that hands-down approach, I'm gonna knock him out.”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.37
→
close$1.35
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
MO
Michał Oleksiejczuk
v Gerald Meerschaert
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Michał Oleksiejczuk
v Gerald Meerschaert
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I'm going to go with this middleweight bout... Mihal Hassarash against Gerald Meerschaert... go with the heavy favorite in Har to win and go under one and a half rounds at plus 110.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.48
→
close$1.48
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
EB
Edson Barboza
v Drakkar Klose
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
Edson Barboza
v Drakkar Klose
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
“Give me Barbosza to show that there's plenty left in the tank and him to piece up Jakar Drakkar Klose minus 135 I think is a really good price. So I like Edson Barbosa... by KO.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.79
→
close$1.82
Barboza’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted