UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs Hernandez DraftKings Breakdown

“great play here um Austen Lane because there's such a big stylistic gap and we just saw it we just saw despain get taken down a ton by Waldo Cortez aasta who's not a wrestler at all at least Austen Lane well he's not a good Striker he at least is like his wrestling is his primary path to Victory I mean he hasn't won in the UFC yet but if he is to win it's going to be through the wrestling so for that reason and because we saw such a big gap in theace wrestling last fight I think that Austin Lane's definitely in play”

“sure I'll play that not high priority but sure I'll take it Rob Font uh mme only you know usually I would completely pass if this wasn't a 10-fight card possibly or 11 fights as of right now but because there's just so few underdogs I'm just going to take a shot on on all of them hopefully like I only get 5% r on because I I don't want to play a lot but I am G to play it”

“bra atona is a guy you have to play for starters he has honestly not not a bad line here plus 200 at 7.2k very reasonable take down upside that's like the biggest thing and neither guy I mean yeah neither guy has any real finishing upside so I think katona's the preferred side”

“Charles Johnson is definitely the preferred side of the sight”

“Pen probably the preferred side um but I'll I'll get to both”

“ardene plus 125 Underdog you have to play it on a card like this just for that alone is there any finishing upside probably not but another fight where I'll play Both Sides uh with a slight preference towards uh ardene”

“it's just a complete uh smash play and then last but not least Daniel Pineda versus Darren Elkins a great fight mid-range grappling UPS Darren alkin has all of the takedown upside in the world um and he has line value he's now a favorite minus 125 got just uh insane grappling upside line value um finishing like not a bad Finishing Line at all here plus 225 Daniel Pena great Finishing Line so you know what if because I'm seeing this D Alin the line value and the taked down upside I'm guessing he's going to have a higher medium projection and I'm guessing he's going to be higher owned than Daniel paneda and it could be like one of those classic things where Pan actually ends up as the better play when you bake in ownership so I like both sides of this a lot and if the ownership gets out of hand I'm gonna definitely try to force in some Daniel Pena at least with the field maybe above depending on on you know if this gets out of hand but we'll see I'll talk about that more tomorrow I'm going to be doing a live stream tomorrow uh before lock as well uh is there one Jake Hadley okay so this is the one J cadley 7.7k minus 500 11 fight card maybe 10 fights like we we keep on saying itd line minus 130 this is just is and he has takedown upside I mean this is just is there a takedown line yet no he has take down upside as well though this is just as close as you can get to uh to like the best play I've ever seen now will he be high owned will he be 50% own probably he should probably be 65 70% owned honestly it's that good of a play can it not work out yeah I guess Jay cadley wins at a decision doesn't put up many points and you somehow get a lot of upside just out of pure variance yeah sure so yeah I think it's viable to have a portion of lineups without without Jake Headley but overall it's just a a great play uh no secret there Cameron Smotherman yeah some some of it I guess plus 400 itd line plus 500 okay minimum price ton of Leverage yeah sure sure I think I'll play some of him just because of ownership but besides that you know I don't want to play him because I think he's going to win it's just that if if he wins the the payoff is is massive uh so I think that'll do it I'll be live tomorrow I'll um send an update in the Discord whenever that'll be probably around noon uh weird card it's going to get even weirder if this fidal and Joselyne Edwards fight gets canceled um but yeah that's about it I think you just you can leave some salary because we have this Jake Hadley value I think you can you know this is a week where I don't know if you anyone watches sheets but his sheets default setting I think this is the week to use that because you're you're going to need to just really get aggressive with with getting low owned lineups maybe even geom mean filtering on a week like this I don't know that's probably viable as well so that's that's all I got we'll talk about it a bit more tomorrow thank you guys for watching as always and I will see you guys in the next one”

“Darren alkin has all of the takedown upside in the world um and he has line value he's now a favorite minus 125 got just uh insane grappling upside line value um finishing like not a bad Finishing Line at all here plus 225 Daniel Pena great Finishing Line so you know what if because I'm seeing this D Alin the line value and the taked down upside I'm guessing he's going to have a higher medium projection and I'm guessing he's going to be higher owned than Daniel paneda and it could be like one of those classic things where Pan actually ends up as the better play when you bake in ownership so I like both sides of this a lot and if the ownership gets out of hand I'm gonna definitely try to force in some Daniel Pena”