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Hernandez vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight
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Font vs PhillipsMain Card · Bantamweight
CJ
SM
Johnson vs MudaerjiMain Card · Flyweight
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JH
Smotherman vs HadleyMain Card · Bantamweight
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Elkins vs PinedaMain Card · Featherweight
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Almabayev vs NicolauPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Edwards vs VidalPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Reed vs PennePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Martinez vs ArdeleanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Lane vs DespaignePreliminary Card · Heavyweight
MP
Hernandez vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight
RF
KP
Font vs PhillipsMain Card · Bantamweight
CJ
SM
Johnson vs MudaerjiMain Card · Flyweight
CS
JH
Smotherman vs HadleyMain Card · Bantamweight
DE
DP
Elkins vs PinedaMain Card · Featherweight
AA
MN
Almabayev vs NicolauPreliminary Card · Flyweight
JM
BK
Matsumoto vs KatonaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
JE
TV
Edwards vs VidalPreliminary Card · Catchweight
ER
JP
Reed vs PennePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
MM
AA
Martinez vs ArdeleanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
AL
RD
Lane vs DespaignePreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Johnson
over Mudaerji · Flyweight
Our fair value$1.25
pays above fair
$1.40
Best prices · Johnson
FanDuel · US
$1.39
Paddy Power · UK
$1.40
Betsson · EU
$1.40
PointsBet (AU) · AU
$1.40
Where to back Johnson
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.25
US
FanDuel
$1.39
+11%
FanDuel
$1.39
+11%
UK
Paddy Power
$1.40
+12%
Paddy Power
$1.40
+12%
EU
BET
Betsson
$1.40
+12%
AU
PointsBet (AU)
$1.40
+12%
PointsBet (AU)
$1.40
+12%
How it endsmethod calls · Johnson · crowd line
KO/TKO
14
$2.68
Submission
4
$9.37
Decision
11
$3.41
None
1
$37.49
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Johnson 19-8
VS
15-12-2 Mudaerji
5'9"
height
6'7"
126 lb
weight
192 lb
70"
reach
79"
35
age
—
Switch
stance
Orthodox
4.2
strikes landed / min
3.0
47%
striking accuracy
63%
3.1
strikes absorbed / min
4.7
54%
striking defence
61%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
1.4
66%
takedown accuracy
53%
55%
takedown defence
72%
1.9
submissions / 15 min
1.8
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market80% vs 71%
Consensus46 of 47 analysts
Sharpest angleJohnson by KO/TKO — 14 of 30 method calls
Recommendation
Back Johnson @ $1.40 · fair $1.25
+12% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Charles Johnson
“my subscribers and I went with Charles Johnson”
$1.48
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Charles Johnson
“my subscribers and I went with Charles Johnson”
$1.48
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“Charles Johnson the scholet gang tough to beat that man bro ... we're going with Charles Johnson in that fight ... I really love Charles Johnson this fight ... two losses in a row I think he's gonna get his third loss in a row to Charles Johnson Charles Johnson ... tough to beat that man bro”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“Charles Johnson the scholet gang tough to beat that man bro ... we're going with Charles Johnson in that fight ... I really love Charles Johnson this fight ... two losses in a row I think he's gonna get his third loss in a row to Charles Johnson Charles Johnson ... tough to beat that man bro”
KU
Kunath picks Charles Johnson
“I think that Charles Johnson's going to get a little bit of love”
Kunath picks Charles Johnson
“I think that Charles Johnson's going to get a little bit of love”
AD
All-Star DFS picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“Charles Johnson is definitely the preferred side of the sight”
$3.00
All-Star DFS picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“Charles Johnson is definitely the preferred side of the sight”
$3.00
CM
Coty MMA picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“I have been profitable on Charles Johnson and I have been a bigger believer than most”
Coty MMA picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“I have been profitable on Charles Johnson and I have been a bigger believer than most”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“I'm going with Elise Ardon to grind out a decision win in a relatively close one”
$2.15
MMA EXPERTS picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“I'm going with Elise Ardon to grind out a decision win in a relatively close one”
$2.15
I9
i9ines picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“I'm going to have to ride with Charles Johnson again I just put him on my [__] house Legends board”
i9ines picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“I'm going to have to ride with Charles Johnson again I just put him on my [__] house Legends board”
WP
We Want Picks picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“Charles Johnson is going to be the pick”
We Want Picks picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“Charles Johnson is going to be the pick”
GM
Green Bets MMA picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“next Charles Johnson in this matchup I just think he's going to be the better fighter in this um Su Mudaerji that he's fighting you know he's just okay in my opinion but I think Charles Johnson he's been able to put it together it's hard to root for Charles Johnson cuz the guys that he's fighting I'm always ruing for the other guy but he honestly is good”
Green Bets MMA picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“next Charles Johnson in this matchup I just think he's going to be the better fighter in this um Su Mudaerji that he's fighting you know he's just okay in my opinion but I think Charles Johnson he's been able to put it together it's hard to root for Charles Johnson cuz the guys that he's fighting I'm always ruing for the other guy but he honestly is good”
SD
Split Decision picks Charles Johnson
“I'm going with Charles Johnson yeah I I I got to agree I say yes go with Charles everybody go with Charles joh go Charles Johnson”
Split Decision picks Charles Johnson
“I'm going with Charles Johnson yeah I I I got to agree I say yes go with Charles everybody go with Charles joh go Charles Johnson”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Johnson19-8
L
Almabayev
Jun '26
W
Silva
Mar '26
L
Perez
Jan '26
W
Kavanagh
Aug '25
L
Temirov
Mar '25
Mudaerji15-12-2
W
Aguilar
Mar '26
W
Borjas
Aug '25
W
Raposo
Apr '25
L
Johnson
Oct '24
L
Elliott
Dec '23