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Lane vs DespaignePreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Font vs PhillipsMain Card · Bantamweight
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Johnson vs MudaerjiMain Card · Flyweight
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Smotherman vs HadleyMain Card · Bantamweight
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Almabayev vs NicolauPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Matsumoto vs KatonaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Edwards vs VidalPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Lane vs DespaignePreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Despaigne v Lane
Heavyweight
Our fair value
$1.32
best price $1.33
PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Despaigne
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.32
US
DraftKings
$1.33
+0%
DraftKings
$1.33
+0%
UK
Paddy Power
$1.33
+0%
Paddy Power
$1.33
+0%
EU
Pinnacle
$1.33
+0%
Pinnacle
$1.33
+0%
AU
SportsBet
$1.31
-1%
SportsBet
$1.31
-1%
How it endsmethod calls · Despaigne · crowd line
KO/TKO
25
$1.32
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Lane 13-7
VS
5-2 Despaigne
6'6"
height
6'7"
205 lb
weight
264 lb
80"
reach
84"
38
age
37
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.5
strikes landed / min
2.1
50%
striking accuracy
59%
2.4
strikes absorbed / min
2.5
40%
striking defence
46%
2.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
30%
takedown accuracy
0%
0%
takedown defence
50%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market76% vs 75%
Consensus26 of 34 analysts
Sharpest angleDespaigne by KO/TKO — 25 of 25 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Robelis Despaigne
“my subscribers and I went with um robelli despain”
$1.26
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Robelis Despaigne
“my subscribers and I went with um robelli despain”
$1.26
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Robelis Despaigne
“I'm taking Robelis Despaigne round one KO”
$1.29
Capper Comparison Picks picks Robelis Despaigne
“I'm taking Robelis Despaigne round one KO”
$1.29
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Robelis Despaigne VALUE
“I'm gonna go robell to Spain ... I like Robelis Despaigne to win by TKO in round one minus 135”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Robelis Despaigne VALUE
“I'm gonna go robell to Spain ... I like Robelis Despaigne to win by TKO in round one minus 135”
KU
Kunath picks Robelis Despaigne
“I suggest playing a Robelis Despaigne because he's probably going to pick up a first round knockout”
Kunath picks Robelis Despaigne
“I suggest playing a Robelis Despaigne because he's probably going to pick up a first round knockout”
AD
All-Star DFS picks Austen Lane VALUE
“great play here um Austen Lane because there's such a big stylistic gap and we just saw it we just saw despain get taken down a ton by Waldo Cortez aasta who's not a wrestler at all at least Austen Lane well he's not a good Striker he at least is like his wrestling is his primary path to Victory I mean he hasn't won in the UFC yet but if he is to win it's going to be through the wrestling so for that reason and because we saw such a big gap in theace wrestling last fight I think that Austin Lane's definitely in play”
$1.61
All-Star DFS picks Austen Lane VALUE
“great play here um Austen Lane because there's such a big stylistic gap and we just saw it we just saw despain get taken down a ton by Waldo Cortez aasta who's not a wrestler at all at least Austen Lane well he's not a good Striker he at least is like his wrestling is his primary path to Victory I mean he hasn't won in the UFC yet but if he is to win it's going to be through the wrestling so for that reason and because we saw such a big gap in theace wrestling last fight I think that Austin Lane's definitely in play”
$1.61
CM
Coty MMA picks Robelis Despaigne VALUE
“I'm sticking with my pick of Robelis Despaigne it's just the line has come down”
Coty MMA picks Robelis Despaigne VALUE
“I'm sticking with my pick of Robelis Despaigne it's just the line has come down”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Robelis Despaigne VALUE
“I'm going with Robelis Despaigne he's not losing to Austen Lane here I've been picking him all week Robelis Despaigne has an athletic and explosive striking ability”
$1.29
MMA EXPERTS picks Robelis Despaigne VALUE
“I'm going with Robelis Despaigne he's not losing to Austen Lane here I've been picking him all week Robelis Despaigne has an athletic and explosive striking ability”
$1.29
I9
i9ines picks Austen Lane
“I am going to be putting my pick on robell to Spain”
i9ines picks Austen Lane
“I am going to be putting my pick on robell to Spain”
GM
Green Bets MMA picks Robelis Despaigne VALUE
“the reason why I'm personally on the Robelis Despaigne uh rebellous the Spain side is because a I would assume he would be like or after his loss there notice that he is a huge hold and get in the gym fix the problem so I hope that he's improved that and two Austen Lane has a chin problem okay so in my eyes I just have to believe that Robelis Despaigne put in the world to fix the takedown and obviously fix the ground game and he could knock out Austen Lane honestly”
Green Bets MMA picks Robelis Despaigne VALUE
“the reason why I'm personally on the Robelis Despaigne uh rebellous the Spain side is because a I would assume he would be like or after his loss there notice that he is a huge hold and get in the gym fix the problem so I hope that he's improved that and two Austen Lane has a chin problem okay so in my eyes I just have to believe that Robelis Despaigne put in the world to fix the takedown and obviously fix the ground game and he could knock out Austen Lane honestly”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Robelis Despaigne VALUE
“I'm going to have a ton of Robelis Despaigne uh 9,400 I think his win conditions a first round finish if not the first round probably the second round”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Robelis Despaigne VALUE
“I'm going to have a ton of Robelis Despaigne uh 9,400 I think his win conditions a first round finish if not the first round probably the second round”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Austen Lane
“I like to Spain here maybe a small sprinkle on Austen Lane as a pump play but yeah there's a lot of underdogs I like on this card Austin Austen Lane's not really one of them”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Austen Lane
“I like to Spain here maybe a small sprinkle on Austen Lane as a pump play but yeah there's a lot of underdogs I like on this card Austin Austen Lane's not really one of them”
TS
The SM Show picks Robelis Despaigne
“I got to go with Robelis Despaigne here I mean Austen Lanes based option is basically wethering the store but maybe like taking getting takedowns but I don't see him getting past the first round I think this pain will finish him in the first or early in the second so I got this Spain by finish second far”
The SM Show picks Robelis Despaigne
“I got to go with Robelis Despaigne here I mean Austen Lanes based option is basically wethering the store but maybe like taking getting takedowns but I don't see him getting past the first round I think this pain will finish him in the first or early in the second so I got this Spain by finish second far”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Lane13-7
L
Baraniewski
Mar '26
L
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Jul '25
L
Pinto
Mar '25
W
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Oct '24
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Apr '24
Despaigne5-2
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Oct '24
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May '24
W
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Mar '24