MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira
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AH MP Hernandez vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight RF KP Font vs PhillipsMain Card · Bantamweight CJ SM Johnson vs MudaerjiMain Card · Flyweight CS JH Smotherman vs HadleyMain Card · Bantamweight DE DP Elkins vs PinedaMain Card · Featherweight AA MN Almabayev vs NicolauPreliminary Card · Flyweight JM BK Matsumoto vs KatonaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JE TV Edwards vs VidalPreliminary Card · Catchweight ER JP Reed vs PennePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight MM AA Martinez vs ArdeleanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight AL RD Lane vs DespaignePreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE We back Reed over Penne · Women'S Strawweight Our fair value$1.50 TAB pays above fair $1.57
Where to back Reed best price · region · EV vs fair $1.50
US LowVig.ag $1.56 +4%
UK Betway $1.57 +5%
EU Coolbet $1.57 +5%
AU TAB $1.57 +5%
Consensus47 picks · conf 67/99
Reed 35
12 Penne
TEBJDC pick Reed
How it endsmethod calls · Reed · crowd line
Submission 2 $9.74
Decision 11 $1.77
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Reed 8-4 VS 14-9 Penne
5'3" height 5'5"
115 lb weight 115 lb
63" reach 67"
33 age 43
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.5 strikes landed / min 2.6
53% striking accuracy 33%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 5.0
53% striking defence 45%
0.5 takedowns / 15 min 1.3
60% takedown accuracy 18%
56% takedown defence 36%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market67% vs 64%
Consensus35 of 47 analysts
Sharpest angleReed by Decision — 11 of 13 method calls
Recommendation Back Reed @ $1.57 · fair $1.50 +5% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Elise Reed VALUE “my subscribers and I went with Alis Reed” $1.65
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Elise Reed “I know this is going to decision... I'm picking Elise Reed”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Elise Reed VALUE “I like Elise Reed I like pan plus three and a half”
KU Kunath picks Elise Reed VALUE “I don't mind playing Elise Reed for example”
AD All-Star DFS picks Elise Reed VALUE “Pen probably the preferred side um but I'll I'll get to both”
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Jessica Penne VALUE “betting value Jessica Penne grappling offers value at plus 150” $2.50
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Elise Reed “Elise Reed sores off against Jessica Penne”
CM Coty MMA picks Elise Reed “the pick is Elise Reed”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Elise Reed “I'm going to pick Elise Reed to win a competitive striking Affair between the two” $1.56
CA ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Elise Reed VALUE “acho que vai dar Rich vencendo por decisão”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Elise Reed VALUE “I do like Elise re to get the job done minus 165” $1.61
WP We Want Picks picks Elise Reed “Elise Reed's going to be the pick”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Reed8-4
L Gomes KO/TKO · R2 May '25
W Penne Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Godinez Submission · R2 Sep '23
W Frey Decision · R3 Jun '23
L Lookboonmee Submission · R2 Feb '23
Penne14-9
L Reed Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Ricci Submission · R2 Mar '23
L Ducote Decision · R3 Jul '22
W Kowalkiewicz Submission · R1 Aug '21
W Godinez Decision · R3 Apr '21