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UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira
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AH MP Hernandez vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight RF KP Font vs PhillipsMain Card · Bantamweight CJ SM Johnson vs MudaerjiMain Card · Flyweight CS JH Smotherman vs HadleyMain Card · Bantamweight DE DP Elkins vs PinedaMain Card · Featherweight AA MN Almabayev vs NicolauPreliminary Card · Flyweight JM BK Matsumoto vs KatonaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JE TV Edwards vs VidalPreliminary Card · Catchweight ER JP Reed vs PennePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight MM AA Martinez vs ArdeleanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight AL RD Lane vs DespaignePreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE We back Edwards over Vidal · Catchweight Our fair value$1.31 LowVig.ag pays above fair $1.42
Where to back Edwards best price · region · EV vs fair $1.31
US LowVig.ag $1.42 +8%
UK Paddy Power $1.40 +7%
EU Everygame $1.40 +7%
AU Ladbrokes AU $1.40 +7%
Consensus44 picks · conf 65/99
Edwards 40
4 Vidal
UETDMT pick Edwards
How it endsmethod calls · Edwards · crowd line
Submission 1 $23.61
Decision 16 $1.48
None 1 $23.61
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Edwards 17-6 VS 7-4 Vidal
5'8" height 6'3"
135 lb weight 204 lb
70" reach 80"
30 age 27
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.5 strikes landed / min 2.9
52% striking accuracy 53%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 4.5
49% striking defence 49%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
39% takedown accuracy 0%
61% takedown defence 35%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.7
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market76% vs 70%
Consensus40 of 44 analysts
Sharpest angleEdwards by Decision — 16 of 18 method calls
Recommendation Back Edwards @ $1.42 · fair $1.31 +8% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Joselyne Edwards VALUE “my subscribers and I went with Joselyne Joselyne Edwards” $1.65
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Joselyne Edwards “I'm taking Joselyne Edwards”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Joselyne Edwards “she's not a finisher so it would be a decision but it'll be a unanimous decision I think Joselyne Edwards gonna win every round against Tamires Vidal” $1.36
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Joselyne Edwards VALUE “I'mma buy if probably takes this one guys ... official pick for this fight I think I'm buy wins a decision ... I like Joselyne Edwards here”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Tamires Vidal VALUE “I go with Tamires Vidal even though she looked really bad on the scale so man let's look at this next fight Tamires Vidal”
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Joselyne Edwards “Tamires Vidal squares off against Joselyne Edwards”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Joselyne Edwards “I'm gonna pick Edwards to win the fight” $1.42
MN Mayo Media Network picks Joselyne Edwards VALUE “I'm going to go with Joselyne Edwards at 8.9k” $1.40
BO Botmfeeder picks Joselyne Edwards “jln Edwards at a minus 260 money line” $1.38
TS The SM Show picks Joselyne Edwards “that's why I'm kind of picking Ed I feel like Tamires Vidal will struggle to get the take Downs I think Joselyne Edwards will piece her up on the feat and maybe get a finish or win a decision”
WB Willis Bermingham picks Joselyne Edwards “so I'm going to have Joselyne Edwards with this the odd agree with me greatly so you know if it's woman's MMA if there's a big favorite that means she's going to lose cuz that's just how it works um but I still have Joslyn in this one”
EB ESPN BET picks Tamires Vidal “we're going to go with Joselyne Edwards by decision here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Edwards17-6
W Dumont Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Cornolle Submission · R2 Feb '26
W Cachoeira KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W Chandler KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
W Vidal Submission · R3 Oct '24
Vidal7-4
L Edwards Submission · R3 Oct '24
L Gatto KO/TKO · R3 May '24
L Rendon Decision · R3 Sep '23
W Pascual KO/TKO · R1 Nov '22