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UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira
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AH MP Hernandez vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight RF KP Font vs PhillipsMain Card · Bantamweight CJ SM Johnson vs MudaerjiMain Card · Flyweight CS JH Smotherman vs HadleyMain Card · Bantamweight DE DP Elkins vs PinedaMain Card · Featherweight AA MN Almabayev vs NicolauPreliminary Card · Flyweight JM BK Matsumoto vs KatonaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JE TV Edwards vs VidalPreliminary Card · Catchweight ER JP Reed vs PennePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight MM AA Martinez vs ArdeleanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight AL RD Lane vs DespaignePreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE We back Font over Phillips · Bantamweight Our fair value$5.35 DraftKings pays above fair $5.90
Where to back Font best price · region · EV vs fair $5.35
US DraftKings $5.90 +10%
UK LiveScore Bet $5.00 -6%
EU Pinnacle $5.76 +8%
AU Ladbrokes AU $5.80 +8%
Consensus55 picks · conf 71/99
Font 12
43 Phillips
MEMMAM pick Font
How it endsmethod calls · Font · crowd line
KO/TKO 5 $10.69
Decision 5 $10.69
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Font 0-0 VS 12-4 Phillips
5'8" height 5'8"
135 lb weight 135 lb
72" reach 72"
39 age 31
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.5 strikes landed / min 5.3
50% striking accuracy 44%
4.0 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
53% striking defence 60%
1.5 takedowns / 15 min 2.6
32% takedown accuracy 51%
82% takedown defence 75%
1.3 submissions / 15 min 0.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market19% vs 17%
Consensus12 of 55 analysts
Sharpest angleFont by KO/TKO — 5 of 10 method calls
Recommendation Back Font @ $5.90 · fair $5.35 +10% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
EM Elijah House MMA picks Kyler Phillips VALUE “I'm definitely going Kyler Phillips here ... I do believe Kyler Phillips Kyler Phillips will chin Rob Font”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Kyler Phillips VALUE “my subscribers and I went with um Kyla Phillips” $1.36
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Kyler Phillips “Kyler Phillips by decision win because I don't think Rob Font gonna be able to get sub um but yeah Kyler Phillips plus minus 450 by decision” $1.22
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Kyler Phillips VALUE “officially I going to go Kyler Phillips minus three and a half on this fight um Kyler Phillips minus three and a half”
AD All-Star DFS picks Rob Font VALUE “sure I'll play that not high priority but sure I'll take it Rob Font uh mme only you know usually I would completely pass if this wasn't a 10-fight card possibly or 11 fights as of right now but because there's just so few underdogs I'm just going to take a shot on on all of them hopefully like I only get 5% r on because I I don't want to play a lot but I am G to play it” $4.75
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Rob Font “12th ranked Kyler Phillips takes on 10th ranked Rob Font”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Kyler Phillips VALUE “I am picking the side of Kyler Phillips I've been picking him all week” $1.20
I9 i9ines picks Kyler Phillips VALUE “I'm going to ride with Kyler Phillips getting this one done mixing in his wrestling when he needs to”
WP We Want Picks picks Kyler Phillips VALUE “Kyler Phillips easy path to Victory”
GM Green Bets MMA picks Kyler Phillips VALUE “Kyler Kyler Phillips inting around a 4 to1 favorite same thing super confident favorite taking on somebody like Rob Font if this was three years years ago I think it'd be a very close matchup Kyler Kyler Phillips right now is just you know he's looking good and Rob Font unfortunately is at the kind of end of his career so I think it's just a 1 plus 1 equals two Kyler Kyler Phillips is going to be the first one to the punch and it's kind of as simple as that”
SD Split Decision picks Kyler Phillips VALUE “I think kylo Phillips is going to win minus 400 I think a lot of the favorites are going to be winning tonight”
SD Split Decision picks Rob Font “I'm going to go with highand too I think he's had much more success I think he's going to get his fourth straight win ah good”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Font0-0
L Jr. Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Martínez Decision · R3 Sep '25
W Matsumoto Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Phillips Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Figueiredo Decision · R3 Dec '23
Phillips12-4
L Jourdain Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Oliveira Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Font Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Munhoz Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Barcelos Decision · R3 Aug '23