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UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett Β· breakdown

UFC 324 Full card breakdown and review

MM Mick MMA50% hit
5 months ago 2W–6L Β· -3.4u 8/12 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick Β· line tracked since Β· best price in any region Β· close = day before the event
TM Ty Miller v Adam Fugitt MONEYLINE WON
β€œI might have to go with his name just because of that. um 6-0. Not sure where he's coming from with those shorts like that. Um he lost to Dulattov. Um beat Quinnland Arid Doulattov. Um this one's a bit of a tossup, but um probably Ty Thriller Miller.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$1.28 β†’ close$1.28
entry: Coolbet Β· best in any region at publish
CS Cameron Smotherman v Ricky Turcios MONEYLINE VALUE
β€œI'm going to go with Cameron Smotherman, baby face killer over Ricky Turcios.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$1.56 β†’ now$1.56
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish
RT Ricky Turcios v Cameron Smotherman MONEYLINE VALUE
β€œI'm going to go with Cameron Smotherman, baby face killer over Ricky Turcios.”
Line since pick CLV +2%
β—† entry$2.70 β†’ now$2.66
entry: Bovada Β· best in any region at publish
DF Denzel Freeman v Josh Hokit MONEYLINE LOST
β€œI'm going to go with Josh Hokit.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$3.05 β†’ close$3.05
entry: Caesars Β· best in any region at publish
MJ Michael Johnson v Alexander Hernandez MONEYLINE VALUE
β€œI feel like I got to go with Michael Johnson, though, just experience-wise. He's been at the top of the division before. Alex Hernandez has kind of always remained at like the bottom of the kind of, you know, like he's there, but he's not there.”
Line since pick CLV +6%
β—† entry$2.40 β†’ now$2.27
entry: Bovada Β· best in any region at publish
CJ Charles Johnson v Alex Perez MONEYLINE LOST
β€œI'm with Charles Johnson. Not only do I want him to win, but he has been he's been getting a lot of sneaky sneaky good wins.”
Line since pick CLV βˆ’3%
β—† entry$1.56 β†’ close$1.61
entry: Pinnacle Β· best in any region at publish
NK Nikita Krylov v Modestas Bukauskas MONEYLINE WON
β€œI think I'm going to go with Mestus Powkas to win this fight not sure how but I just think so much wear and tear on Nikita Krylov and again he hasn't been fighting too often either.”
Line since pick CLV βˆ’1%
β—† entry$2.28 β†’ close$2.30
entry: SportsBet Β· best in any region at publish
AA Arnold Allen v Jean Silva MONEYLINE LOST
β€œI'm going with Arnold Allen to to get this done by decision. I think he keeps it safe against John Silva.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$3.50 β†’ close$3.50
entry: Betsson Β· best in any region at publish
AA Arnold Allen v Jean Silva PROP Β· DECISION LOST
β€œI'm going with Arnold Allen to to get this done by decision. I think he keeps it safe against John Silva.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$3.50 β†’ close$3.50
Allen’s moneyline β€” prop lines aren’t quoted
PP Paddy Pimblett v Justin Gaethje MONEYLINE LOST
β€œI'm favoring more towards Patty Pimblet. It's gonna get a little bit of that, you know, there there's a little bit of that like mysticism in the air when the UFC wants someone to win and they you can kind of tell they've been they want Patty Pimlet to win in this fight with all the promotion, all the sponsorships, everything like that.”
Line since pick CLV +1%
β—† entry$1.50 β†’ close$1.48
entry: Betfair Sportsbook Β· best in any region at publish
AH Alexander Hernandez v Michael Johnson MONEYLINE VALUE β€”
β€œI feel like Ank is an is doing pretty good right now, honestly. Um, and Michael Johnson has always had some heavy hands at lightweight... I feel like Michael Johnson is probably going to catch him. Um... I think Michael Johnson is probably going to catch him.”
Line since pick CLV βˆ’17%
β—† entry$1.67 β†’ now$2.02
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish
DL Derrick Lewis v Waldo Cortes-Acosta MONEYLINE LOST β€”
β€œI'm going with Derrick Lewis round one knockout should be should be pretty fun.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$3.85 β†’ close$3.85
entry: Betsson Β· best in any region at publish