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UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · breakdown

BEST BETS: UFC Vegas 119: Kape vs. Horiguchi Betting Guide

WP We Want Picks60% hit
2 weeks ago 7W–5L · +1.6u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
VO Vinicius Oliveira v Andre Fili MONEYLINE WON
“I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_10 wins his fight. He's fighting Andre Fili.”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.40 close$1.37
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
BM Beatriz Mesquita v Melissa Mullins MONEYLINE WON
“I think Beatriz Mesquita wins this fight clearly.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.20 close$1.20
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
LS Luana Santos v Karol Rosa MONEYLINE WON
“Luana Santos is one. This is not going to be an exciting fight by any means. This will be a boring fight. It will go to a decision, and if Luana Santos wins, it's because those judges appreciate the takedowns and the control.”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.10 close$2.08
entry: Fliff · best in any region at publish
KH Kyoji Horiguchi v Manel Kape MONEYLINE LOST
“I think Kyoji Horiguchi flat out wins this fight.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.40 close$2.40
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
AL André Lima v Kevin Borjas MONEYLINE LOST
“I do think André Lima wins this fight. I'm confident that André Lima should win this fight.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.17 close$1.17
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
MM Murtazali Magomedov v Melsik Baghdasaryan PROP · SUBMISSION WON
“Murtazali Magomedov by submission. There is a giant skill gap on the ground. It's not even remotely close. a giant skill gap on the ground. I think he gets it to the ground. I think he finds a submission.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.33 close$1.33
Magomedov’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.50
MM Murtazali Magomedov v Melsik Baghdasaryan MONEYLINE WON
“Murtazali Magomedov by submission. There is a giant skill gap on the ground. It's not even remotely close. a giant skill gap on the ground. I think he gets it to the ground. I think he finds a submission.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.33 close$1.33
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
NS Navajo Stirling v Ion Cuțelaba PROP · DECISION LOST
“Navajo Sterling by decision also plus 250.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.33 close$1.34
Stirling’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.50
NS Navajo Stirling v Ion Cuțelaba MONEYLINE WON
“I think we end up at a fight that goes to a decision and I think Navajo wins that decision.”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.33 close$1.34
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
MM Melissa Mullins v Beatriz Mesquita MONEYLINE LOST
“be a mosquito by submission. That's the most likely outcome.”
Line since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$6.00 close$6.25
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish
MM Melissa Mullins v Beatriz Mesquita PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“be a mosquito by submission. That's the most likely outcome.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$6.00 close$6.25
Mullins’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.83
MR Mitch Raposo v Allan Nascimento MONEYLINE WON
“I do think he can outright win. And if you're a dog chaser, I think that can make some solid sense.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.75 close$2.75
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish