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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Lewis v Daukaus
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Lewis 29-13
VS
12-7 Daukaus
6'3"
height
6'3"
265 lb
weight
205 lb
79"
reach
76"
41
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.5
strikes landed / min
6.0
50%
striking accuracy
50%
2.5
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
40%
striking defence
55%
0.6
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
26%
takedown accuracy
0%
52%
takedown defence
100%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“i will pick now switch it derrick Derrick Lewis kotko in the second round”
$2.30
MMA EXPERTS picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“i will pick now switch it derrick Derrick Lewis kotko in the second round”
$2.30
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Chris Daukaus VALUE
“i'm more so on the Chris Daukaus side i do think he's going to be the minute winner in this fight”
$1.22
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Chris Daukaus VALUE
“i'm more so on the Chris Daukaus side i do think he's going to be the minute winner in this fight”
$1.22
KU
Kunath picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“he could pull a rabbit out of his hat again and get the ko finish over Chris Daukaus i wouldn't really be surprised”
Kunath picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“he could pull a rabbit out of his hat again and get the ko finish over Chris Daukaus i wouldn't really be surprised”
WP
We Want Picks picks Chris Daukaus VALUE
“Five units for 50 minutes with adres Kings and Queens Chris Daukaus Gerald Meerschaert”
We Want Picks picks Chris Daukaus VALUE
“Five units for 50 minutes with adres Kings and Queens Chris Daukaus Gerald Meerschaert”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Chris Daukaus
“Derrick Lewis and Chris Daukaus but man we have a lot to talk about before that”
Santino DeFranco picks Chris Daukaus
“Derrick Lewis and Chris Daukaus but man we have a lot to talk about before that”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Derrick Lewis
“We are back welcome to breakdown and bets with brandon olivas and santino de franco uh we're here we've got another fight in front of us EVENT_DETAILS Derrick Lewis and Chris Daukaus”
Santino DeFranco picks Derrick Lewis
“We are back welcome to breakdown and bets with brandon olivas and santino de franco uh we're here we've got another fight in front of us EVENT_DETAILS Derrick Lewis and Chris Daukaus”
WP
We Want Picks picks Chris Daukaus
“Chris Daukaus the better fighter should win this fight”
$80.00
We Want Picks picks Chris Daukaus
“Chris Daukaus the better fighter should win this fight”
$80.00
KU
Kunath picks Derrick Lewis
“look i'm not trying to disrespect the knockout king he could knock chris dawkins out with one shot of course but i would hate to be in a position where i'm waiting for him to land that one shot”
Kunath picks Derrick Lewis
“look i'm not trying to disrespect the knockout king he could knock chris dawkins out with one shot of course but i would hate to be in a position where i'm waiting for him to land that one shot”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Derrick Lewis
“Derrick Lewis coming off that title shot where he did lose the serial gun but he's coming back and he's taking on the up-and-comer the undefeated ufc fighter... incredible main event”
Greedo Plays picks Derrick Lewis
“Derrick Lewis coming off that title shot where he did lose the serial gun but he's coming back and he's taking on the up-and-comer the undefeated ufc fighter... incredible main event”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Chris Daukaus VALUE
“i've gotta take Chris Daukaus purely because”
$1.74
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Chris Daukaus VALUE
“i've gotta take Chris Daukaus purely because”
$1.74
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“i'm going with the underdog derrick lewis here over Chris Daukaus”
THE MMA GURU picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“i'm going with the underdog derrick lewis here over Chris Daukaus”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Lewis29-13
L
Hokit
Jun '26
L
Cortes-Acosta
Jan '26
W
Teixeira
Jul '25
W
Nascimento
May '24
L
Almeida
Nov '23
Daukaus12-7
L
Rountree Jr.
Aug '23
L
Rozenstruik
Dec '22
L
Blaydes
Mar '22
L
Lewis
Dec '21
W
Abdurakhimov
Sep '21