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Meerschaert vs StoltzfusPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Swanson v Elkins
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Swanson 30-14
VS
29-11 Elkins
5'8"
height
5'10"
146 lb
weight
145 lb
70"
reach
71"
42
age
42
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.7
strikes landed / min
3.4
50%
striking accuracy
38%
3.9
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
59%
striking defence
51%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
2.9
50%
takedown accuracy
34%
63%
takedown defence
56%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Cub Swanson VALUE
“i expect him to win this fight by a unanimous decision”
$1.56
MMA EXPERTS picks Cub Swanson VALUE
“i expect him to win this fight by a unanimous decision”
$1.56
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Cub Swanson VALUE
“Darren Elkins 7400 i'm picking against him here i like Cub Swanson to get the win”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Cub Swanson VALUE
“Darren Elkins 7400 i'm picking against him here i like Cub Swanson to get the win”
WP
We Want Picks picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I got Darren Elkins at plus 160 he's fighting Cub Swanson”
$2.60
We Want Picks picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I got Darren Elkins at plus 160 he's fighting Cub Swanson”
$2.60
KU
Kunath picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“at 7 400 Darren Elkins is by far one of my favorite plays on the slate this week”
Kunath picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“at 7 400 Darren Elkins is by far one of my favorite plays on the slate this week”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I like Cub”
Santino DeFranco picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I like Cub”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Cub Swanson
“I like the speed”
Santino DeFranco picks Cub Swanson
“I like the speed”
KU
Kunath picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“the pick for me this week is the damage”
Kunath picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“the pick for me this week is the damage”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Cub Swanson VALUE
“i have to side with ryoni barcelos”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Cub Swanson VALUE
“i have to side with ryoni barcelos”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Cub Swanson
“i'm going with cub swanson here over Darren Elkins”
THE MMA GURU picks Cub Swanson
“i'm going with cub swanson here over Darren Elkins”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Swanson30-14
W
Landwehr
Apr '26
W
Quarantillo
Dec '24
L
Fili
Jun '24
W
Dawodu
Aug '23
L
Martinez
Oct '22
Elkins29-11
L
Erosa
Apr '25
W
Pineda
Oct '24
W
Brown
Oct '23
L
Pearce
Dec '22
W
Connelly
Apr '22