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Leavitt vs SaylesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Lewis vs DaukausMain Card · Heavyweight
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Muhammad vs ThompsonMain Card · Welterweight
AL
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Lemos vs HillMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Simón vs AssunçãoMain Card · Bantamweight
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Gamrot vs FerreiraMain Card · Lightweight
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Swanson vs ElkinsMain Card · Featherweight
GM
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Meerschaert vs StoltzfusPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Tafa vs HunsuckerPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MG
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Gatto vs EubanksPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Jourdain vs EwellPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Pennington vs ChiassonPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Mayes vs ParisianPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Leavitt vs SaylesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Leavitt v Sayles
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Leavitt 13-4
VS
8-4 Sayles
5'9"
height
5'7"
145 lb
weight
155 lb
71"
reach
69"
31
age
32
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.8
strikes landed / min
4.8
57%
striking accuracy
41%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
2.8
68%
striking defence
61%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
0.4
61%
takedown accuracy
16%
75%
takedown defence
81%
0.7
submissions / 15 min
0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE
“i'm gonna go Jordan Leavitt Jordan Leavitt for the win”
$1.95
MMA EXPERTS picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE
“i'm gonna go Jordan Leavitt Jordan Leavitt for the win”
$1.95
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jordan Leavitt
“i think Jordan Leavitt has a path to victory where he's able to get this fight down to the mat and possibly get a sub there”
$1.54
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jordan Leavitt
“i think Jordan Leavitt has a path to victory where he's able to get this fight down to the mat and possibly get a sub there”
$1.54
KU
Kunath picks Matt Sayles VALUE
“i think Matt Sayles is an excellent value this week at 8 000 looks like a solid value”
Kunath picks Matt Sayles VALUE
“i think Matt Sayles is an excellent value this week at 8 000 looks like a solid value”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Jordan Leavitt
“i'm taking jordan live and i'm taking the monkey king to win this one at sales... i'm gonna go the monkey king to beat Matt Sayles by decision”
Greedo Plays picks Jordan Leavitt
“i'm taking jordan live and i'm taking the monkey king to win this one at sales... i'm gonna go the monkey king to beat Matt Sayles by decision”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Matt Sayles VALUE
“i'm gonna side with Matt Sayles to avoid the ground game of Jordan Leavitt”
$1.91
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Matt Sayles VALUE
“i'm gonna side with Matt Sayles to avoid the ground game of Jordan Leavitt”
$1.91
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE
“i think Jordan Leavitt does get the win here his wrestling game is still really good”
MMA EXPERTS picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE
“i think Jordan Leavitt does get the win here his wrestling game is still really good”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Leavitt13-4
L
Brito
Jun '26
W
Valle
Feb '26
W
Holobaugh
May '25
L
Hooper
Nov '23
W
Martinez
Feb '23
Sayles8-4
L
Leavitt
Dec '21
L
Mitchell
Dec '19
W
Nelson
May '19
L
Moraes
Aug '18