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Simón vs AssunçãoMain Card · Bantamweight
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Gamrot vs FerreiraMain Card · Lightweight
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Swanson vs ElkinsMain Card · Featherweight
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Meerschaert vs StoltzfusPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Tafa vs HunsuckerPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Gatto vs EubanksPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Jourdain vs EwellPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Pennington vs ChiassonPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Mayes vs ParisianPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Mayes v Parisian
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Mayes 11-7
VS
15-8 Parisian
6'6"
height
6'4"
260 lb
weight
266 lb
81"
reach
79"
34
age
37
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.5
strikes landed / min
4.5
43%
striking accuracy
48%
3.8
strikes absorbed / min
4.9
46%
striking defence
41%
0.7
takedowns / 15 min
1.0
38%
takedown accuracy
33%
58%
takedown defence
46%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Josh Parisian VALUE
“Josh Parisian 7600 this is is very ugly it's a ugly heavyweight fight here that could really go either way and we're getting parisian here at 7 600 i don't love it but he does have an 85 finish rate we see that Don'Tale Mayes has been finished in all of his losses twice by sub once by knockout parisian has won every single one but i think two he has two decision wins on his record he's 7600 he's cheap i don't hate some shots on Josh Parisian very low level low level heavyweight fight but at 7 600 and worth um i'm willing to take a couple shots there”
$77.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Josh Parisian VALUE
“Josh Parisian 7600 this is is very ugly it's a ugly heavyweight fight here that could really go either way and we're getting parisian here at 7 600 i don't love it but he does have an 85 finish rate we see that Don'Tale Mayes has been finished in all of his losses twice by sub once by knockout parisian has won every single one but i think two he has two decision wins on his record he's 7600 he's cheap i don't hate some shots on Josh Parisian very low level low level heavyweight fight but at 7 600 and worth um i'm willing to take a couple shots there”
$77.00
KU
Kunath picks Josh Parisian VALUE
“i'm going to take Josh Parisian this week at 7600”
Kunath picks Josh Parisian VALUE
“i'm going to take Josh Parisian this week at 7600”
KU
Kunath picks Don'Tale Mayes
“the pick is Don'Tale Mayes but i'm fading this one entirely”
Kunath picks Don'Tale Mayes
“the pick is Don'Tale Mayes but i'm fading this one entirely”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Don'Tale Mayes
“i'm gonna go with Don'Tale Mayes here over Josh Parisian”
THE MMA GURU picks Don'Tale Mayes
“i'm gonna go with Don'Tale Mayes here over Josh Parisian”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Mayes11-7
L
Petersen
May '25
L
Walker
Feb '25
L
Gaziev
Aug '24
W
Machado
Apr '24
L
Nascimento
Nov '23
Parisian15-8
L
Despaigne
Mar '24
L
Buday
Aug '23
L
Pogues
Feb '23
W
Baudot
Jun '22
L
Mayes
Dec '21