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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pennington v Chiasson
Catchweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pennington 16-10
VS
11-6 Chiasson
5'7"
height
5'11"
135 lb
weight
135 lb
67"
reach
72"
37
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.1
strikes landed / min
4.2
49%
striking accuracy
58%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
2.7
61%
striking defence
56%
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
1.2
27%
takedown accuracy
57%
62%
takedown defence
69%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Macy Chiasson VALUE
“i like Macy Chiasson for the w by a unanimous decision”
$2.55
MMA EXPERTS picks Macy Chiasson VALUE
“i like Macy Chiasson for the w by a unanimous decision”
$2.55
GP
Greedo Plays picks Raquel Pennington
“ever so slightly though i'm going to recall pennington i just wasn't impressed with the chow song fight... i'm going with Raquel Pennington to beat macy's shasta i think she gets it done by decision”
$1.56
Greedo Plays picks Raquel Pennington
“ever so slightly though i'm going to recall pennington i just wasn't impressed with the chow song fight... i'm going with Raquel Pennington to beat macy's shasta i think she gets it done by decision”
$1.56
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Macy Chiasson VALUE
“i'm sticking with Macy Chiasson on this one”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Macy Chiasson VALUE
“i'm sticking with Macy Chiasson on this one”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Raquel Pennington
“i'm going to go over Raquel Pennington here over mesa chasson”
THE MMA GURU picks Raquel Pennington
“i'm going to go over Raquel Pennington here over mesa chasson”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Raquel Pennington VALUE
“i have macy chiasson winning against raquel here”
$2.70
MMA EXPERTS picks Raquel Pennington VALUE
“i have macy chiasson winning against raquel here”
$2.70
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pennington16-10
L
Peña
Oct '24
W
Silva
Jan '24
W
Vieira
Jan '23
W
Ladd
Apr '22
W
Chiasson
Dec '21
Chiasson11-6
L
Pérez
Feb '26
L
Santos
Oct '25
L
Vieira
May '25
W
Silva
Jun '24
W
Kianzad
Mar '24