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Makhachev vs MoisésMain Card · Lightweight
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Tate vs ReneauMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Vieira vs StoltzfusMain Card · Middleweight
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Nascimento vs BaudotPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Makhachev vs MoisésMain Card · Lightweight
MT
MR
Tate vs ReneauMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
MG
JS
Gamrot vs StephensMain Card · Lightweight
RV
DS
Vieira vs StoltzfusMain Card · Middleweight
BQ
GB
Quarantillo vs BenítezMain Card · Featherweight
DR
PP
Rodriguez vs ParsonsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
AL
MR
Lemos vs RuizPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
SM
KT
Morozov vs TahaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
MG
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Gordon vs FigueiredoPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Nascimento vs BaudotPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Makhachev v Moisés
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Makhachev 27-1
VS
19-9 Moisés
5'10"
height
5'9"
170 lb
weight
155 lb
70"
reach
70"
34
age
31
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
3.4
strikes landed / min
2.4
49%
striking accuracy
40%
1.9
strikes absorbed / min
4.1
66%
striking defence
54%
3.9
takedowns / 15 min
1.5
49%
takedown accuracy
35%
90%
takedown defence
55%
1.1
submissions / 15 min
1.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Islam Makhachev VALUE
“guru will make go in all five rounds yes he will i don't think he finishes Thiago Moisés if he does it'll be in the fourth or fifth um but i think he will go five rounds”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Islam Makhachev VALUE
“the winner according to the simulation islam Islam Makhachev”
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Islam Makhachev VALUE
“i do think islamically is going to get a win but it's not going to be easy but i think he's going to get it done to be honest so yeah we'll have Islam Makhachev like a chip to get the dog possibly no distance in that fight as well but i'll just take as long for those of you that have made it to the end of the video”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Islam Makhachev
“i'm going with islam makashiv”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Islam Makhachev VALUE
“Islam Makhachev is definitely the lock pick of the night”
$1.17
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Islam Makhachev VALUE
“i like Islam Makhachev i'm going to have him in the majority of my lineups and this 9k range is really stacked but it's really hard to not go very heavy on maka jeff in this fight i think he scores very good”
$95.00
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Islam Makhachev
“i'll take Islam Makhachev to potentially ground and pound thiago moises”
$1.17
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Makhachev27-1
W
Maddalena
Nov '25
W
Moicano
Jan '25
W
Poirier
Jun '24
W
Volkanovski
Oct '23
W
Volkanovski
Feb '23
Moisés19-9
L
Young
Apr '26
L
Gordon
May '25
W
Ogden
Jan '25
L
Klein
Jun '24
W
Ramirez
Mar '24