Choose a fight to analyse
IM
TM
Makhachev vs MoisésMain Card · Lightweight
MT
MR
Tate vs ReneauMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
MG
JS
Gamrot vs StephensMain Card · Lightweight
RV
DS
Vieira vs StoltzfusMain Card · Middleweight
BQ
GB
Quarantillo vs BenítezMain Card · Featherweight
DR
PP
Rodriguez vs ParsonsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
AL
MR
Lemos vs RuizPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
SM
KT
Morozov vs TahaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
MG
FF
Gordon vs FigueiredoPreliminary Card · Flyweight
RN
AB
Nascimento vs BaudotPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
TM
Makhachev vs MoisésMain Card · Lightweight
MT
MR
Tate vs ReneauMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
MG
JS
Gamrot vs StephensMain Card · Lightweight
RV
DS
Vieira vs StoltzfusMain Card · Middleweight
BQ
GB
Quarantillo vs BenítezMain Card · Featherweight
DR
PP
Rodriguez vs ParsonsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
AL
MR
Lemos vs RuizPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
SM
KT
Morozov vs TahaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
MG
FF
Gordon vs FigueiredoPreliminary Card · Flyweight
RN
AB
Nascimento vs BaudotPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Gamrot v Stephens
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Gamrot 26-4
VS
29-22 Stephens
5'10"
height
5'9"
156 lb
weight
155 lb
70"
reach
71"
35
age
40
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.9
strikes landed / min
3.2
55%
striking accuracy
40%
4.1
strikes absorbed / min
3.0
68%
striking defence
58%
1.7
takedowns / 15 min
1.2
44%
takedown accuracy
38%
89%
takedown defence
65%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Jeremy Stephens VALUE
“i'm gonna stick with miles john's winning here i believe so by a decision money value betting wise let's see john's by kotko plus 400. he could touch the chin but i could also see him getting a decision”
MMA EXPERTS picks Jeremy Stephens VALUE
“i'm gonna stick with miles john's winning here i believe so by a decision money value betting wise let's see john's by kotko plus 400. he could touch the chin but i could also see him getting a decision”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Mateusz Gamrot VALUE
“i think matias gammarot is going to win this fight by a unanimous decision if he really goes out there and has the greatest performance he can i mean sure he could get a tko or even potentially lock up a choke on jeremy stevens for his career anaka would be great but beating jeremy stevens is a great feather in the cap i see him doing it and i do think by a decision i like Mateusz Gamrot”
$1.48
MMA EXPERTS picks Mateusz Gamrot VALUE
“i think matias gammarot is going to win this fight by a unanimous decision if he really goes out there and has the greatest performance he can i mean sure he could get a tko or even potentially lock up a choke on jeremy stevens for his career anaka would be great but beating jeremy stevens is a great feather in the cap i see him doing it and i do think by a decision i like Mateusz Gamrot”
$1.48
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Mateusz Gamrot VALUE
“Jeremy Stephens Mateusz Gamrot i like it very much Mateusz Gamrot is wow okay cool”
THE MMA GURU picks Mateusz Gamrot VALUE
“Jeremy Stephens Mateusz Gamrot i like it very much Mateusz Gamrot is wow okay cool”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Mateusz Gamrot VALUE
“Mateusz Gamrot for the win our second of our locks of the night”
$1.51
MMA EXPERTS picks Mateusz Gamrot VALUE
“Mateusz Gamrot for the win our second of our locks of the night”
$1.51
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Mateusz Gamrot VALUE
“i do like amrot especially at his price tag um 8600 against a Jeremy Stephens who is probably on his way out of Jeremy Stephens Jeremy Stephens who is 35 36 years old coming up a weight class late in his career i do like amber to get it done”
$87.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Mateusz Gamrot VALUE
“i do like amrot especially at his price tag um 8600 against a Jeremy Stephens who is probably on his way out of Jeremy Stephens Jeremy Stephens who is 35 36 years old coming up a weight class late in his career i do like amber to get it done”
$87.00
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Mateusz Gamrot
“take gamma right here take gamma to win by decision”
$1.43
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Mateusz Gamrot
“take gamma right here take gamma to win by decision”
$1.43
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Gamrot26-4
W
Ribovics
Apr '26
L
Oliveira
Oct '25
W
Klein
May '25
L
Hooker
Aug '24
W
Anjos
Mar '24
Stephens29-22
L
Green
May '26
L
Jones
May '25
L
Gamrot
Jul '21
L
Kattar
May '20
L
Rodríguez
Oct '19