MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC on ESPN: Makhachev vs. Moisés
Choose a fight to analyse
IM TM Makhachev vs MoisésMain Card · Lightweight MT MR Tate vs ReneauMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight MG JS Gamrot vs StephensMain Card · Lightweight RV DS Vieira vs StoltzfusMain Card · Middleweight BQ GB Quarantillo vs BenítezMain Card · Featherweight DR PP Rodriguez vs ParsonsPreliminary Card · Welterweight AL MR Lemos vs RuizPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight SM KT Morozov vs TahaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight MG FF Gordon vs FigueiredoPreliminary Card · Flyweight RN AB Nascimento vs BaudotPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Gordon v Figueiredo Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus5 picks · conf 15/99
Gordon 2
3 Figueiredo
DM pick Gordon
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Gordon 14-8 VS 13-5-1 Figueiredo
5'7" height 5'6"
127 lb weight 125 lb
71" reach 68"
36 age 36
Switch stance Southpaw
2.5 strikes landed / min 2.0
45% striking accuracy 61%
2.0 strikes absorbed / min 2.6
43% striking defence 61%
1.7 takedowns / 15 min 2.5
35% takedown accuracy 75%
26% takedown defence 76%
1.0 submissions / 15 min 0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TG THE MMA GURU picks Francisco Figueiredo VALUE “i'll definitely go with davis in there Malcolm Gordon is such a little soy boy um got this one br my miles john's versus anderson dos santos”
MP MMA Prophecy picks Malcolm Gordon VALUE “i'm gonna take Malcolm Gordon i don't know why i got feeling even though he's got no chin he walks onto punches he shows up but yeah man to me he's got nothing to lose and figured out seems to be living off his brother's hype in a minute so probably get proven wrong we'll see but that's my pick Malcolm Gordon”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Francisco Figueiredo VALUE “Francisco Figueiredo Francisco Figueiredo here's our third of our locks of the night” $1.32
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Malcolm Gordon “i will take some shots on Malcolm Gordon but there's a very good chance he does get knocked out” $74.00
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Francisco Figueiredo “i'm gonna take Francisco Figueiredo” $1.33
Recent form last five, most recent first
Gordon14-8
L Flick Submission · R2 Jan '24
L Hadley KO/TKO · R1 Mar '23
L Mokaev Submission · R3 Oct '22
W Bondar KO/TKO · R1 Feb '22
W Figueiredo Decision · R3 Jul '21
Figueiredo13-5-1
L Albazi Submission · R1 Aug '22
W Lacerda Submission · R1 Apr '22
L Gordon Decision · R3 Jul '21
W Rivera Decision · R3 Jan '21