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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Rodriguez v Parsons Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus3 picks · conf 10/99
Rodriguez 3
0 Parsons
UDM pick Rodriguez
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Rodriguez 18-5 VS 11-5 Parsons
6'1" height 5'11"
170 lb weight 171 lb
74" reach 71"
39 age 30
Southpaw stance Orthodox
7.5 strikes landed / min 3.5
49% striking accuracy 51%
5.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
58% striking defence 55%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 3.5
54% takedown accuracy 36%
57% takedown defence 71%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 2.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MP MMA Prophecy picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE “i'm gonna go with Daniel Rodriguez all day Daniel Rodriguez to get the win i think he wins by ko but Daniel Rodriguez to get a win all day”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Daniel Rodriguez “i'm going to take miles john's to win by decision” $1.57
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Daniel Rodriguez “i'll take Daniel Rodriguez and maybe a tko” $1.42
Recent form last five, most recent first
Rodriguez18-5
W Holland Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Ponzinibbio KO/TKO · R3 May '25
W Morono Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Gastelum Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Garry KO/TKO · R1 May '23
Parsons11-5
L Smith KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
L Elliott Decision · R3 Jul '24
W Semelsberger Decision · R3 Jan '24
L Giles Decision · R3 Mar '23
W Elder Decision · R3 Apr '22