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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Tate v Reneau Women'S Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus5 picks · conf 15/99
Tate 3
2 Reneau
KUD pick Tate
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Tate 20-9 VS 9-8-1 Reneau
5'6" height 5'6"
135 lb weight 136 lb
65" reach 68"
39 age 49
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.6 strikes landed / min 3.2
45% striking accuracy 41%
3.0 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
51% striking defence 59%
2.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
31% takedown accuracy 63%
55% takedown defence 50%
1.3 submissions / 15 min 0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Marion Reneau “i'm gonna pick Marion Reneau to win this fight over misha tate by a decision but as a fan i love miesha tate and i would like to see the comeback story and victory for her more of a pass on the bet but i am going with the dog there” $2.30
TG THE MMA GURU picks Marion Reneau VALUE “i prefer Montserrat Ruiz in all honesty i genuinely don't give a [ __ ] about that fight but if if Miesha Tate comes back and rematches holly holm i'm okay with that i guess”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Marion Reneau VALUE “i do think the dog wins here” $2.24
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Miesha Tate VALUE “give me Miesha Tate has a nice tournament play there” $83.00
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Miesha Tate “i'll go with tate” $1.70
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Miesha Tate “i'll take the former champion Miesha Tate”
KI KingofCrackdown5095 picks Marion Reneau “i feel like Marion Reneau is a dog she's a solid grappler she's aggressive she's very short very compact and heavy on top”
KI KingofCrackdown5095 picks Miesha Tate “in this one i have Miesha Tate via decision”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Tate20-9
L Santos Decision · R3 May '25
W Avila Submission · R3 Dec '23
L Murphy Decision · R3 Jul '22
L Vieira Decision · R5 Nov '21
W Reneau KO/TKO · R3 Jul '21
Reneau9-8-1
L Tate KO/TKO · R3 Jul '21
L Chiasson Decision · R3 Mar '21
L Pennington Decision · R3 Jun '20
L Kunitskaya Decision · R3 Mar '19
L Zingano Decision · R3 Jul '18