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UFC on ESPN: Makhachev vs. Moisés
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Vieira v Stoltzfus Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus2 picks · conf 10/99
Vieira 2
0 Stoltzfus
TU pick Vieira
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Vieira 11-4 VS 16-8 Stoltzfus
6'0" height 6'0"
186 lb weight 185 lb
73" reach 75"
36 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.2 strikes landed / min 3.6
54% striking accuracy 44%
4.6 strikes absorbed / min 2.5
49% striking defence 50%
4.2 takedowns / 15 min 1.5
30% takedown accuracy 71%
100% takedown defence 52%
1.6 submissions / 15 min 0.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TG THE MMA GURU picks Rodolfo Vieira VALUE “i think Rodolfo Vieira wins yeah i don't mind him winning i don't mind people saying that he wins i'm not saying dude it's so stupid the odds should be the other way around”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Rodolfo Vieira “the better bjj player is Rodolfo Vieira so yeah that's gonna be my prediction” $1.40
Recent form last five, most recent first
Vieira11-4
L McConico Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Nickal KO/TKO · R3 Nov '25
W Gore Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Petroski Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Petrosyan Submission · R1 Feb '24
Stoltzfus16-8
L Gastelum Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Ruziboev Decision · R3 May '25
W Barriault KO/TKO · R1 Nov '24
L Ferreira KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
W Soriano Submission · R2 Dec '23