MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC on ESPN: Makhachev vs. Moisés
Choose a fight to analyse
IM TM Makhachev vs MoisésMain Card · Lightweight MT MR Tate vs ReneauMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight MG JS Gamrot vs StephensMain Card · Lightweight RV DS Vieira vs StoltzfusMain Card · Middleweight BQ GB Quarantillo vs BenítezMain Card · Featherweight DR PP Rodriguez vs ParsonsPreliminary Card · Welterweight AL MR Lemos vs RuizPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight SM KT Morozov vs TahaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight MG FF Gordon vs FigueiredoPreliminary Card · Flyweight RN AB Nascimento vs BaudotPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Nascimento v Baudot Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus2 picks · conf 10/99
Nascimento 1
1 Baudot
M pick Nascimento
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Nascimento 11-3 VS 8-3 Baudot
— height 6'3"
— weight 253 lb
— reach 79"
33 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.7 strikes landed / min 5.4
47% striking accuracy 58%
4.3 strikes absorbed / min 4.8
44% striking defence 46%
1.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
37% takedown accuracy 0%
60% takedown defence 62%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Rodrigo Nascimento VALUE “i think she's just going to jab her from a distance”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Alan Baudot VALUE “i'm taking Alan Baudot tomorrow as a big underdog”
MP MMA Prophecy picks Rodrigo Nascimento VALUE “i'm taking Rodrigo Nascimento nacimentos to get a win in the first fight”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Alan Baudot “i'm gonna take alan badou to hopefully keep the fight standing”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Nascimento11-3
L Romanov Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Lewis KO/TKO · R3 May '24
W Mayes Decision · R3 Nov '23
W Latifi Decision · R3 May '23
W Boser Decision · R3 Sep '22
Baudot8-3
L Parisian KO/TKO · R2 Jun '22
L Porter Decision · R3 Feb '22
L Aspinall KO/TKO · R1 Oct '20