Choose a fight to analyse
CO
MC
Oliveira vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight
BD
TF
Dariush vs FergusonMain Card · Lightweight
RB
MS
Bontorin vs SchnellMain Card · Catchweight
KC
VA
Chookagian vs AraújoMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
EB
SB
Barboza vs BurgosMain Card · Featherweight
AM
RS
Muniz vs SouzaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
LV
MG
Vannata vs GrundyPreliminary Card · Featherweight
JW
JP
Wright vs PickettPreliminary Card · Middleweight
AL
AS
Lee vs ShevchenkoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
PC
GM
Cachoeira vs MazanyEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
TL
KA
Lutz vs AguilarEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
CG
SS
Giagos vs SorianoEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
MC
Oliveira vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight
BD
TF
Dariush vs FergusonMain Card · Lightweight
RB
MS
Bontorin vs SchnellMain Card · Catchweight
KC
VA
Chookagian vs AraújoMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
EB
SB
Barboza vs BurgosMain Card · Featherweight
AM
RS
Muniz vs SouzaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
LV
MG
Vannata vs GrundyPreliminary Card · Featherweight
JW
JP
Wright vs PickettPreliminary Card · Middleweight
AL
AS
Lee vs ShevchenkoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
PC
GM
Cachoeira vs MazanyEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
TL
KA
Lutz vs AguilarEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
CG
SS
Giagos vs SorianoEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Oliveira v Chandler
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Oliveira 36-11
VS
23-10 Chandler
5'10"
height
5'8"
156 lb
weight
156 lb
74"
reach
72"
36
age
40
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.7
strikes landed / min
4.5
48%
striking accuracy
50%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
4.3
53%
striking defence
43%
1.4
takedowns / 15 min
1.6
44%
takedown accuracy
37%
57%
takedown defence
63%
2.1
submissions / 15 min
0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MW
MMA Fight Picks - Aaron Weinbaum picks Charles Oliveira
“i listen he gets he gets those NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 know early round flurries and and knocks people out this is what Michael Chandler does ... i think that i am going to go with charlottesville over here um yeah Charles Oliveira and new”
MMA Fight Picks - Aaron Weinbaum picks Charles Oliveira
“i listen he gets he gets those NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 know early round flurries and and knocks people out this is what Michael Chandler does ... i think that i am going to go with charlottesville over here um yeah Charles Oliveira and new”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“i'm betting Michael Chandler straight up at plus 115”
MMA EXPERTS picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“i'm betting Michael Chandler straight up at plus 115”
SO
Suga Sean O'Malley picks Michael Chandler
“Michael Chandler's legit dude and then he and he knocks out Kevin Aguilar in round one i i love NOT_IN_ROSTER_25's offense off his back dude anytime he gets taken down that [ __ ] is so active off his back throwing up trying to go throwing up barn bars guillotine it's just so offensive off his back 31 years old in his prime Michael Chandler's 35 but the dude looks the dude's shredded always comes in good shape”
Suga Sean O'Malley picks Michael Chandler
“Michael Chandler's legit dude and then he and he knocks out Kevin Aguilar in round one i i love NOT_IN_ROSTER_25's offense off his back dude anytime he gets taken down that [ __ ] is so active off his back throwing up trying to go throwing up barn bars guillotine it's just so offensive off his back 31 years old in his prime Michael Chandler's 35 but the dude looks the dude's shredded always comes in good shape”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“i like Michael Chandler i like Charles Oliveira but the price point on Michael Chandler here is making me put him as a core play”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“i like Michael Chandler i like Charles Oliveira but the price point on Michael Chandler here is making me put him as a core play”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“i like Charles Oliveira it's really cool to see um the improvements he's made”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“i like Charles Oliveira it's really cool to see um the improvements he's made”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“my prediction is going to be Michael Chandler to be the new 155 champion”
$1.91
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“my prediction is going to be Michael Chandler to be the new 155 champion”
$1.91
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“i've already put out my prediction video for the main event Charles Oliveira versus Michael Chandler”
MMA JOEY picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“i've already put out my prediction video for the main event Charles Oliveira versus Michael Chandler”
DR
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I picked Charles Oliveira to be champ”
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I picked Charles Oliveira to be champ”
CS
Calf Kick Sports picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I'm going with your heart i love it go and go with my heart but i wouldn't be surprised if this new attitude he's saying your father need it wrong i could just be a knockout i mean we could be we could be saying all this great stuff about Charles Oliveira saturday night hits and then Michael Chandler just knocks him out with a big right hand like he's done many times before so uh and and honestly what a great story if chandra wins as well i think that's that's great”
Calf Kick Sports picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I'm going with your heart i love it go and go with my heart but i wouldn't be surprised if this new attitude he's saying your father need it wrong i could just be a knockout i mean we could be we could be saying all this great stuff about Charles Oliveira saturday night hits and then Michael Chandler just knocks him out with a big right hand like he's done many times before so uh and and honestly what a great story if chandra wins as well i think that's that's great”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Michael Chandler
“i think that all three of those fighters could be interchangeable uh as far as fighting for the title in my opinion so i'm very happy to see this fight take place uh it's a good one”
Walk The Line MMA picks Michael Chandler
“i think that all three of those fighters could be interchangeable uh as far as fighting for the title in my opinion so i'm very happy to see this fight take place uh it's a good one”
ST
Stephen Wonderboy Thompson picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“I'm for Michael Chandler”
Stephen Wonderboy Thompson picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“I'm for Michael Chandler”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Oliveira36-11
W
Holloway
Mar '26
W
Gamrot
Oct '25
L
Topuria
Jun '25
W
Chandler
Nov '24
L
Tsarukyan
Apr '24
Chandler23-10
L
Ruffy
Jun '26
L
Pimblett
Apr '25
L
Oliveira
Nov '24
L
Poirier
Nov '22
W
Ferguson
May '22