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UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
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CO MC Oliveira vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight BD TF Dariush vs FergusonMain Card · Lightweight RB MS Bontorin vs SchnellMain Card · Catchweight KC VA Chookagian vs AraújoMain Card · Women'S Flyweight EB SB Barboza vs BurgosMain Card · Featherweight AM RS Muniz vs SouzaPreliminary Card · Middleweight LV MG Vannata vs GrundyPreliminary Card · Featherweight JW JP Wright vs PickettPreliminary Card · Middleweight AL AS Lee vs ShevchenkoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight PC GM Cachoeira vs MazanyEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight TL KA Lutz vs AguilarEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight CG SS Giagos vs SorianoEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Bontorin v Schnell Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus5 picks · conf 15/99
Bontorin 2
3 Schnell
UD pick Bontorin
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Bontorin 16-4 VS 17-10 Schnell
height 5'8"
weight 126 lb
reach 70"
34 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.6 strikes landed / min 4.4
52% striking accuracy 39%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
50% striking defence 55%
2.9 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
60% takedown accuracy 40%
51% takedown defence 50%
1.0 submissions / 15 min 1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Matt Schnell “i think Matt Schnell should work towards the decision win over rogerio banterin” $1.65
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Matt Schnell VALUE “leaning towards match now but would i be surprised at all if Rogério Bontorin was able to knock out schnell submit him no i would not”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Rogério Bontorin “i think Rogério Bontorin is live for a knockout”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Rogério Bontorin “i'm gonna side with the brazilian” $1.83
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Matt Schnell VALUE “i think that chanel really controls this fight and the longer the fight goes on i think it favors schnell and that's why mama bush nelly here i think he pulls the victory” $1.65
GP Greedo Plays picks Matt Schnell “i'm going chanel by decision”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Bontorin16-4
L Royval Decision · R3 Jan '22
L Kara-France KO/TKO · R1 Mar '21
L Borg Decision · R3 Feb '20
W Paiva KO/TKO · R1 Aug '19
W Bibulatov Decision · R3 Feb '19
Schnell17-10
L Costa KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
L Morales Submission · R1 Nov '25
W Flick Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Durden Submission · R2 Sep '24
L Erceg KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24