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Vannata vs GrundyPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Lee vs ShevchenkoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Bontorin v Schnell
Catchweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Bontorin 16-4
VS
17-10 Schnell
—
height
5'8"
—
weight
126 lb
—
reach
70"
34
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.6
strikes landed / min
4.4
52%
striking accuracy
39%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
50%
striking defence
55%
2.9
takedowns / 15 min
0.6
60%
takedown accuracy
40%
51%
takedown defence
50%
1.0
submissions / 15 min
1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Matt Schnell
“i think Matt Schnell should work towards the decision win over rogerio banterin”
$1.65
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Matt Schnell VALUE
“leaning towards match now but would i be surprised at all if Rogério Bontorin was able to knock out schnell submit him no i would not”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Rogério Bontorin
“i think Rogério Bontorin is live for a knockout”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Matt Schnell VALUE
“i think that chanel really controls this fight and the longer the fight goes on i think it favors schnell and that's why mama bush nelly here i think he pulls the victory”
$1.65
GP
Greedo Plays picks Matt Schnell
“i'm going chanel by decision”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Bontorin16-4
L
Royval
Jan '22
L
Kara-France
Mar '21
L
Borg
Feb '20
W
Paiva
Aug '19
W
Bibulatov
Feb '19
Schnell17-10
L
Costa
Jun '26
L
Morales
Nov '25
W
Flick
Apr '25
L
Durden
Sep '24
L
Erceg
Mar '24