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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Giagos v Soriano Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus4 picks · conf 10/99
Giagos 4
0 Soriano
MGUW pick Giagos
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Giagos 20-12 VS 14-8 Soriano
5'10" height
156 lb weight
72" reach
36 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.0 strikes landed / min 3.2
41% striking accuracy 61%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 2.1
50% striking defence 56%
2.8 takedowns / 15 min 1.3
36% takedown accuracy 55%
52% takedown defence 52%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Christos Giagos VALUE “i think Christos Giagos wins this fight by a unanimous decision” $1.52
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Christos Giagos “the pick is going to be Christos Giagos though and i'll take him via decision” $1.50
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Christos Giagos VALUE “i'm going to give my boy giago's the edge in the wrestling exchanges um you know and the cardio uh as far as the cardio goes he's been preparing for a big fight here uh against a very very tough fighter and joelle alvarez remember that was the fight that was initially supposed to happen and alvarez is a very dangerous opponent um in fact i believe a much much tougher test than than seriano um i think triago's can hold his own on the feet um i really edged iagos everywhere this fight goes so as long as he doesn't make any uh you know mistakes in there i think that this is his fight right here um i will be rooting for him big time of course like i said um and giago says my pick” $1.43
GP Greedo Plays picks Christos Giagos “i'm going to take chris jostiagos”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Christos Giagos VALUE “i got Christos Giagos wrestling the hell out of Sean Soriano in winning this fight by i would say a unanimous decision” $1.50
Recent form last five, most recent first
Giagos20-12
L Bahamondes KO/TKO · R1 Apr '24
L Zellhuber Submission · R2 Sep '23
W Glenn KO/TKO · R1 Apr '23
L Moisés Submission · R1 Jun '22
L Tsarukyan KO/TKO · R1 Sep '21
Soriano14-8
L Nuerdanbieke Decision · R3 Nov '21
L Giagos Submission · R2 May '21
L Rosa Submission · R3 Jan '15
L Skelly Decision · R3 Sep '14
L Kawajiri Submission · R2 Jan '14